GossipBall
Ligue 1Sunday 15 February 2026 ·

Le Havre vs Toulouse result and stats

29%
test home win
2–1
full time
28%
draw
43%
test away win
Win probability: home 29%, draw 28%, away 43%

Match report

GossipBall's parrot has been crunching the numbers

Le Havre beat Toulouse 2–1 at home in the Ligue 1 on Sunday 15 February 2026. This match was played before GossipBall launched. In a retrospective test using only results available before kick-off, GossipBall's ratings gave Le Havre 29%, the draw 28% and Toulouse 43%, so a home win had a 29% chance. It would have been an upset.

GossipBall analysis · based on five seasons of results and expected goals · updated 30 October 2026, 05:56 UTC

Match stats

LHTO
5
Shots
25
2
On target
9
1
Corners
10
7
Fouls
16
1
Yellow cards
4
1
Red cards
0
1
Half-time goals
1

Recent form

Le Havre
W v Strasbourg2–1 · 8 Feb
L @ Lens0–1 · 30 Jan
D v Monaco0–0 · 24 Jan
D @ Rennes1–1 · 18 Jan
W v Angers2–1 · 4 Jan
Toulouse
L @ Angers0–1 · 8 Feb
D v Auxerre0–0 · 1 Feb
W @ Brest2–0 · 25 Jan
W v Nice5–1 · 17 Jan
L v Lens0–3 · 2 Jan

Head to head

In 5 league meetings since 2023, Le Havre won 2, Toulouse won 2 and 1 was drawn; the most recent, on 2 Nov 2025, was a 0–0 draw.

Toulouse 0–0 Le Havre2 Nov 2025
Le Havre 1–4 Toulouse23 Feb 2025
Toulouse 2–0 Le Havre15 Sep 2024
Le Havre 1–0 Toulouse10 Mar 2024
Toulouse 1–2 Le Havre5 Nov 2023

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Not affiliated with any league, club or governing body; names are used for identification only and no club or league logos are shown. Data: football-data.co.uk, football-data.org and openfootball. Photos: Sebastian Schuster, Victor, Lukáš Parničan and nika tchokhonelidze on Unsplash.

Updated 30 October 2026, 05:56 UTC · About · Legal & privacy · Guide · Previous predictions · Track record · [email protected]