Marseille vs Toulouse result and stats
Win probability: home 62%, draw 20%, away 17%
Match report
GossipBall's parrot has been crunching the numbersMarseille and Toulouse drew 2–2 in the Ligue 1 on Saturday 29 November 2025. This match was played before GossipBall launched. In a retrospective test using only results available before kick-off, GossipBall's ratings gave Marseille 62%, the draw 20% and Toulouse 17%, so a draw had a 20% chance. It would have been an upset.
GossipBall analysis · based on five seasons of results and expected goals · updated 30 October 2026, 05:56 UTC
Match stats
MATO
20Shots6
5On target4
9Corners1
7Fouls10
2Yellow cards1
0Red cards0
0Half-time goals1
Recent form
Marseille
W @ Nice5–1 · 21 Nov
W v Brest3–0 · 8 Nov
W @ Auxerre1–0 · 1 Nov
D v Angers2–2 · 29 Oct
L @ Lens1–2 · 25 Oct
Toulouse
L v Angers0–1 · 23 Nov
D @ Lorient1–1 · 9 Nov
D v Le Havre0–0 · 2 Nov
D v Rennes2–2 · 29 Oct
L @ Monaco0–1 · 25 Oct
Head to head
In 6 league meetings since 2022, Marseille won 4, Toulouse won 0 and 2 were drawn; the most recent, on 6 Apr 2025, finished Marseille 3–2 Toulouse, a win for Marseille.
Marseille 3–2 Toulouse6 Apr 2025
Toulouse 1–3 Marseille31 Aug 2024
Toulouse 2–2 Marseille21 Apr 2024
Marseille 0–0 Toulouse17 Sep 2023
Toulouse 2–3 Marseille19 Feb 2023
Marseille 6–1 Toulouse29 Dec 2022