Ligue 1Matchday 12Saturday 28 November 2026 ·

Angers vs Lens prediction

19%
home win
predicted score
0–2
11.1% chance
26%
draw
56%
away win
Win probability: home 19%, draw 26%, away 56%

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Match preview

GossipBall's parrot has been crunching the numbers

GossipBall makes Lens favourites to beat Angers away from home in Ligue 1 on Saturday 28 November 2026 at 16:15 UTC. It gives Angers a 19% chance of winning, puts the draw at 26% and gives Lens 56%.

GossipBall expects 0.9 goals from Angers and 1.6 from Lens, so the goals line is finely balanced: there is a 46% chance of three or more goals and a 47% chance that both teams score. GossipBall's predicted score is 0–2. Angers keep a clean sheet in 19% of outcomes, Lens in 43%.

Angers are 16th in the table with 8 points from 10 games; Lens are 11th with 13. In their last five league games Angers took 1 points (LLDLL) and Lens took 9 (WWWLL). This season Angers average 1.37 expected goals (xG) for and 1.80 against per game; Lens average 1.73 for and 1.56 against.

In 8 league meetings since 2021, Angers won 0, Lens won 7 and 1 was drawn; the most recent, on 20 Mar 2026, finished Lens 5–1 Angers, a win for Lens.

GossipBall analysis · based on five seasons of results and expected goals · updated 13 November 2026, 22:23 UTC

Scoreline chances

How to read
0
1
2
3
4
5
0
9
13
11
6
3
<1
1
6
12
9
5
2
<1
2
3
5
4
2
<1
<1
3
<1
1
1
<1
<1
4
<1
<1
<1
<1
5
Rows: Angers goalsColumns: Lens goals

Gold outline: the predicted score, built from the likeliest result and each team's expected goals (how). The single most common scoreline is 0–1 (13%), because a win is spread over many scorelines while a draw piles up on a few.

Most common scorelines

0–113.0%
1–112.1%
0–211.1%
1–29.5%
0–08.8%
1–06.5%
1 or more goals
91%
2 or more goals
72%
3 or more goals
46%
4 or more goals
24%
5 or more goals
11%
Both teams score
47%

GossipBall expects 2.5 goals in total: 0.85 for Angers and 1.64 for Lens.

Winning margin

Explained
Angers by 3
1%
Angers by 2
5%
Angers by 1
13%
Draw
26%
Lens by 3
9%
Lens by 2
17%
Lens by 1
25%

Each team's goals

Explained
Angers expected goals0.85
Lens expected goals1.64
Angers keep a clean sheet19%
Lens keep a clean sheet43%
Angers win without conceding11%
Lens win without conceding34%
Angers score 2 or more21%
Lens score 2 or more49%

Recent form

Angers
L v Nice0–2 · 8 Nov
L @ Lyon0–2 · 1 Nov
D v Lorient0–0 · 25 Oct
L v Marseille2–5 · 18 Oct
L @ Brest1–5 · 10 Oct
Lens
L v Marseille1–2 · 8 Nov
L @ Lille0–1 · 30 Oct
W v Paris FC2–1 · 24 Oct
W @ Troyes3–1 · 17 Oct
W v Lyon2–1 · 9 Oct

Head to head

Full record →

In 8 league meetings since 2021, Angers won 0, Lens won 7 and 1 was drawn; the most recent, on 20 Mar 2026, finished Lens 5–1 Angers, a win for Lens.

Lens 5–1 Angers20 Mar 2026
Angers 1–2 Lens30 Nov 2025
Lens 1–0 Angers26 Jan 2025
Angers 0–1 Lens18 Aug 2024
Lens 3–0 Angers18 Mar 2023
Angers 1–2 Lens5 Nov 2022

Season averages per game

ANGRCL
0.90
Goals
1.70
1.90
Conceded
1.50
1.37
xG
1.73
1.80
xG against
1.56
12.2
Shots
12.9
3.3
On target
5.4
6.0
Corners
5.8
1.60
Yellow cards
1.90
30%
Clean sheets
0%
40%
Both score
80%
40%
3+ goals
80%

Questions and answers

Who will win Angers vs Lens?

GossipBall gives Angers a 19% chance of winning, the draw 26% and Lens 56%. GossipBall makes Lens favourites to beat Angers away from home.

What is the predicted score for Angers vs Lens?

GossipBall's predicted score is 0–2, based on the likeliest result and each team's expected goals (0.9 for Angers, 1.6 for Lens). Across all results, the most common scorelines are 0–1 (13%), 1–1 (12%), 0–2 (11%).

Will both teams score in Angers vs Lens?

GossipBall gives a 47% chance that both Angers and Lens score.

Will there be three or more goals in Angers vs Lens?

There is a 46% chance of three or more goals. GossipBall expects 2.5 goals in total (0.9 for Angers, 1.6 for Lens).

When is Angers vs Lens?

Kick-off is Saturday 28 November 2026 at 16:15 UTC.

What is the head-to-head record between Angers and Lens?

In 8 league meetings since 2021, Angers won 0, Lens won 7 and 1 was drawn; the most recent, on 20 Mar 2026, finished Lens 5–1 Angers, a win for Lens.

GossipBall is a football statistics site, not a gambling service. We do not offer, promote, advertise or link to betting or gambling of any kind, show no bookmaker odds and receive no money from gambling companies. Predictions are statistical probabilities for information and entertainment only; they are not advice of any kind. Legal notice

Not affiliated with any league, club or governing body; names are used for identification only and no club or league logos are shown. Data: football-data.co.uk, football-data.org and openfootball. Photos: Sebastian Schuster, Victor, Lukáš Parničan and nika tchokhonelidze on Unsplash. Flags: circle-flags (MIT licence).

Updated 13 November 2026, 22:23 UTC · About · Legal & privacy · Guide · Previous predictions · Track record · Daily quiz · Weekly email · info@gossipball.com ·

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About GossipBallLegal & privacy Updated 13 November 2026, 22:23 UTC