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Brest vs Troyes prediction
Predict the score
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Match preview
GossipBall's parrot has been crunching the numbersGossipBall makes Brest favourites to beat Troyes at home in Ligue 1 on Saturday 12 December 2026 at 19:45 UTC. It gives Brest a 57% chance of winning, puts the draw at 24% and gives Troyes 19%.
GossipBall expects 1.8 goals from Brest and 1.0 from Troyes, so the goals line is finely balanced: there is a 53% chance of three or more goals and a 53% chance that both teams score. GossipBall's predicted score is 2–1. Brest keep a clean sheet in 38% of outcomes, Troyes in 16%.
Brest are 9th in the table with 15 points from 10 games; Troyes are 17th with 8. In their last five league games Brest took 10 points (WDLWW) and Troyes took 4 (LLDWL). This season Brest average 1.96 expected goals (xG) for and 1.23 against per game; Troyes average 1.17 for and 1.55 against.
In 4 league meetings since 2021, Brest won 2, Troyes won 0 and 2 were drawn; the most recent, on 19 Mar 2023, was a 2–2 draw.
GossipBall analysis · based on five seasons of results and expected goals · updated 14 November 2026, 03:12 UTC
Scoreline chances
How to readGold outline: the predicted score, built from the likeliest result and each team's expected goals (how). The single most common scoreline is 1–1 (11%), because a win is spread over many scorelines while a draw piles up on a few.
Most common scorelines
Goals
ExplainedGossipBall expects 2.8 goals in total: 1.83 for Brest and 0.97 for Troyes.
Winning margin
ExplainedEach team's goals
ExplainedRecent form
Head to head
Full record →In 4 league meetings since 2021, Brest won 2, Troyes won 0 and 2 were drawn; the most recent, on 19 Mar 2023, was a 2–2 draw.
Season averages per game
Questions and answers
Who will win Brest vs Troyes?
GossipBall gives Brest a 57% chance of winning, the draw 24% and Troyes 19%. GossipBall makes Brest favourites to beat Troyes at home.
What is the predicted score for Brest vs Troyes?
GossipBall's predicted score is 2–1, based on the likeliest result and each team's expected goals (1.8 for Brest, 1.0 for Troyes). Across all results, the most common scorelines are 1–1 (11%), 1–0 (11%), 2–0 (10%).
Will both teams score in Brest vs Troyes?
GossipBall gives a 53% chance that both Brest and Troyes score.
Will there be three or more goals in Brest vs Troyes?
There is a 53% chance of three or more goals. GossipBall expects 2.8 goals in total (1.8 for Brest, 1.0 for Troyes).
When is Brest vs Troyes?
Kick-off is Saturday 12 December 2026 at 19:45 UTC.
What is the head-to-head record between Brest and Troyes?
In 4 league meetings since 2021, Brest won 2, Troyes won 0 and 2 were drawn; the most recent, on 19 Mar 2023, was a 2–2 draw.