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Lyon vs Monaco prediction
Predict the score
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Match preview
GossipBall's parrot has been crunching the numbersGossipBall makes Lyon favourites to beat Monaco at home in Ligue 1 on Sunday 29 November 2026 at 19:45 UTC. It gives Lyon a 46% chance of winning, puts the draw at 24% and gives Monaco 30%.
GossipBall expects 1.7 goals from Lyon and 1.4 from Monaco, so goals look likely: there is a 60% chance of three or more goals and a 62% chance that both teams score. GossipBall's predicted score is 2–1. Lyon keep a clean sheet in 26% of outcomes, Monaco in 17%.
Lyon are 5th in the table with 17 points from 10 games; Monaco are 7th with 16. In their last five league games Lyon took 6 points (LWLWL) and Monaco took 3 (DLDLD). This season Lyon average 1.50 expected goals (xG) for and 1.22 against per game; Monaco average 1.16 for and 1.37 against.
In 10 league meetings since 2021, Lyon won 5, Monaco won 5 and 0 were drawn; the most recent, on 22 Mar 2026, finished Lyon 1–2 Monaco, a win for Monaco.
GossipBall analysis · based on five seasons of results and expected goals · updated 13 November 2026, 22:23 UTC
Scoreline chances
How to readGold outline: the predicted score, built from the likeliest result and each team's expected goals (how). The single most common scoreline is 1–1 (11%), because a win is spread over many scorelines while a draw piles up on a few.
Most common scorelines
Goals
ExplainedGossipBall expects 3.1 goals in total: 1.74 for Lyon and 1.36 for Monaco.
Winning margin
ExplainedEach team's goals
ExplainedRecent form
Head to head
Full record →In 10 league meetings since 2021, Lyon won 5, Monaco won 5 and 0 were drawn; the most recent, on 22 Mar 2026, finished Lyon 1–2 Monaco, a win for Monaco.
Season averages per game
Questions and answers
Who will win Lyon vs Monaco?
GossipBall gives Lyon a 46% chance of winning, the draw 24% and Monaco 30%. GossipBall makes Lyon favourites to beat Monaco at home.
What is the predicted score for Lyon vs Monaco?
GossipBall's predicted score is 2–1, based on the likeliest result and each team's expected goals (1.7 for Lyon, 1.4 for Monaco). Across all results, the most common scorelines are 1–1 (11%), 2–1 (9%), 1–0 (7%).
Will both teams score in Lyon vs Monaco?
GossipBall gives a 62% chance that both Lyon and Monaco score.
Will there be three or more goals in Lyon vs Monaco?
There is a 60% chance of three or more goals. GossipBall expects 3.1 goals in total (1.7 for Lyon, 1.4 for Monaco).
When is Lyon vs Monaco?
Kick-off is Sunday 29 November 2026 at 19:45 UTC.
What is the head-to-head record between Lyon and Monaco?
In 10 league meetings since 2021, Lyon won 5, Monaco won 5 and 0 were drawn; the most recent, on 22 Mar 2026, finished Lyon 1–2 Monaco, a win for Monaco.