Marseille vs Le Havre result and stats
Win probability: home 64%, draw 21%, away 15%
Match report
GOSSIPBALL's parrot has been crunching the numbersMarseille beat Le Havre 4–3 at home in the Ligue 1 on Sunday 25 October 2026. Before kick-off GossipBall gave Marseille 64%, the draw 21% and Le Havre 15%, so a home win had a 64% chance. GossipBall's favourite result came in.
On expected goals it finished Marseille 1.54, Le Havre 3.10, so Le Havre created the better chances. Marseille had 11 shots (5 on target) to Le Havre's 22 (7 on target).
GOSSIPBALL analysis · based on five seasons of results and expected goals · updated 29 October 2026, 20:50 UTC
Match stats
MALH
1.54Expected goals3.10
11Shots22
5On target7
4Corners3
15Fouls11
1Yellow cards3
0Red cards0
2Half-time goals0
Recent form
Marseille
W @ Angers5–2 · 18 Oct
W @ Troyes2–0 · 11 Oct
L v Paris Saint-Germain1–2 · 20 Sep
L @ Rennes0–1 · 11 Sep
L v Paris FC2–3 · 6 Sep
Le Havre
L v Auxerre1–3 · 18 Oct
L @ Lille0–1 · 10 Oct
L @ Toulouse2–3 · 19 Sep
D v Angers0–0 · 12 Sep
L v Brest1–2 · 5 Sep
Head to head
In 6 league meetings since 2023, Marseille won 6, Le Havre won 0 and 0 were drawn; the most recent, on 10 May 2026, finished Le Havre 0–1 Marseille, a win for Marseille.
Le Havre 0–1 Marseille10 May 2026
Marseille 6–2 Le Havre18 Oct 2025
Le Havre 1–3 Marseille10 May 2025
Marseille 5–1 Le Havre5 Jan 2025
Le Havre 1–2 Marseille19 May 2024
Marseille 3–0 Le Havre8 Oct 2023
Season averages per game
MALH
2.25Goals1.00
1.62Conceded1.88
1.67xG1.59
2.29xG against1.68
12.9Shots16.5
4.9On target5.0
4.4Corners5.4
1.25Yellow cards1.75
25%Clean sheets12%
50%Both score62%
62%3+ goals50%