Ligue 1Matchday 13Saturday 5 December 2026 ·

Monaco vs Angers prediction

66%
home win
predicted score
2–1
9.8% chance
21%
draw
13%
away win
Win probability: home 66%, draw 21%, away 13%

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Match preview

GossipBall's parrot has been crunching the numbers

GossipBall makes Monaco clear favourites to beat Angers at home in Ligue 1 on Saturday 5 December 2026 at 19:45 UTC. It gives Monaco a 66% chance of winning, puts the draw at 21% and gives Angers 13%.

GossipBall expects 2.1 goals from Monaco and 0.8 from Angers, so the goals line is finely balanced: there is a 55% chance of three or more goals and a 49% chance that both teams score. GossipBall's predicted score is 2–1. Monaco keep a clean sheet in 44% of outcomes, Angers in 13%.

Monaco are 7th in the table with 16 points from 10 games; Angers are 16th with 8. In their last five league games Monaco took 3 points (DLDLD) and Angers took 1 (LLDLL). This season Monaco average 1.16 expected goals (xG) for and 1.37 against per game; Angers average 1.37 for and 1.80 against.

In 8 league meetings since 2021, Monaco won 6, Angers won 1 and 1 was drawn; the most recent, on 28 Feb 2026, finished Monaco 2–0 Angers, a win for Monaco.

GossipBall analysis · based on five seasons of results and expected goals · updated 13 November 2026, 22:23 UTC

Scoreline chances

How to read
0
1
2
3
4
5
0
6
4
2
<1
<1
1
11
10
4
1
<1
2
12
10
4
1
<1
3
8
7
3
<1
<1
4
4
4
1
<1
5
2
1
<1
<1
Rows: Monaco goalsColumns: Angers goals

Gold outline: the predicted score, built from the likeliest result and each team's expected goals (how). The single most common scoreline is 2–0 (12%), because a win is spread over many scorelines while a draw piles up on a few.

Most common scorelines

2–011.9%
1–011.0%
1–19.8%
2–19.8%
3–08.2%
3–16.8%
1 or more goals
94%
2 or more goals
79%
3 or more goals
55%
4 or more goals
33%
5 or more goals
17%
Both teams score
49%

GossipBall expects 2.9 goals in total: 2.08 for Monaco and 0.82 for Angers.

Winning margin

Explained
Monaco by 3
12%
Monaco by 2
20%
Monaco by 1
24%
Draw
21%
Angers by 3
1%
Angers by 2
3%
Angers by 1
9%

Each team's goals

Explained
Monaco expected goals2.08
Angers expected goals0.82
Monaco keep a clean sheet44%
Angers keep a clean sheet13%
Monaco win without conceding38%
Angers win without conceding7%
Monaco score 2 or more61%
Angers score 2 or more20%

Recent form

Monaco
D @ Le Mans1–1 · 8 Nov
L @ Paris FC1–3 · 1 Nov
D v Lille1–1 · 25 Oct
L @ Lorient0–1 · 18 Oct
D v Toulouse2–2 · 10 Oct
Angers
L v Nice0–2 · 8 Nov
L @ Lyon0–2 · 1 Nov
D v Lorient0–0 · 25 Oct
L v Marseille2–5 · 18 Oct
L @ Brest1–5 · 10 Oct

Head to head

Full record →

In 8 league meetings since 2021, Monaco won 6, Angers won 1 and 1 was drawn; the most recent, on 28 Feb 2026, finished Monaco 2–0 Angers, a win for Monaco.

Monaco 2–0 Angers28 Feb 2026
Angers 1–1 Monaco18 Oct 2025
Angers 0–2 Monaco15 Mar 2025
Monaco 0–1 Angers1 Nov 2024
Angers 1–2 Monaco7 May 2023
Monaco 2–0 Angers30 Oct 2022

Season averages per game

ASMANG
1.30
Goals
0.90
1.10
Conceded
1.90
1.16
xG
1.37
1.37
xG against
1.80
11.8
Shots
12.2
4.2
On target
3.3
4.1
Corners
6.0
2.00
Yellow cards
1.60
20%
Clean sheets
30%
70%
Both score
40%
40%
3+ goals
40%

Questions and answers

Who will win Monaco vs Angers?

GossipBall gives Monaco a 66% chance of winning, the draw 21% and Angers 13%. GossipBall makes Monaco clear favourites to beat Angers at home.

What is the predicted score for Monaco vs Angers?

GossipBall's predicted score is 2–1, based on the likeliest result and each team's expected goals (2.1 for Monaco, 0.8 for Angers). Across all results, the most common scorelines are 2–0 (12%), 1–0 (11%), 1–1 (10%).

Will both teams score in Monaco vs Angers?

GossipBall gives a 49% chance that both Monaco and Angers score.

Will there be three or more goals in Monaco vs Angers?

There is a 55% chance of three or more goals. GossipBall expects 2.9 goals in total (2.1 for Monaco, 0.8 for Angers).

When is Monaco vs Angers?

Kick-off is Saturday 5 December 2026 at 19:45 UTC.

What is the head-to-head record between Monaco and Angers?

In 8 league meetings since 2021, Monaco won 6, Angers won 1 and 1 was drawn; the most recent, on 28 Feb 2026, finished Monaco 2–0 Angers, a win for Monaco.

GossipBall is a football statistics site, not a gambling service. We do not offer, promote, advertise or link to betting or gambling of any kind, show no bookmaker odds and receive no money from gambling companies. Predictions are statistical probabilities for information and entertainment only; they are not advice of any kind. Legal notice

Not affiliated with any league, club or governing body; names are used for identification only and no club or league logos are shown. Data: football-data.co.uk, football-data.org and openfootball. Photos: Sebastian Schuster, Victor, Lukáš Parničan and nika tchokhonelidze on Unsplash. Flags: circle-flags (MIT licence).

Updated 13 November 2026, 22:23 UTC · About · Legal & privacy · Guide · Previous predictions · Track record · Daily quiz · Weekly email · info@gossipball.com ·

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About GossipBallLegal & privacy Updated 13 November 2026, 22:23 UTC