Nice vs Lens prediction
Predict the score
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Match preview
GossipBall's parrot has been crunching the numbersGossipBall makes Lens slight favourites to beat Nice away from home in Ligue 1 on Saturday 12 December 2026 at 19:45 UTC. It gives Nice a 30% chance of winning, puts the draw at 26% and gives Lens 43%.
GossipBall expects 1.2 goals from Nice and 1.5 from Lens, so the goals line is finely balanced: there is a 52% chance of three or more goals and a 56% chance that both teams score. GossipBall's predicted score is 1–2. Nice keep a clean sheet in 22% of outcomes, Lens in 29%.
Nice are 6th in the table with 17 points from 10 games; Lens are 11th with 13. In their last five league games Nice took 12 points (WLWWW) and Lens took 9 (WWWLL). This season Nice average 1.43 expected goals (xG) for and 1.70 against per game; Lens average 1.73 for and 1.56 against.
In 10 league meetings since 2021, Nice won 5, Lens won 2 and 3 were drawn; the most recent, on 2 May 2026, was a 1–1 draw.
GossipBall analysis · based on five seasons of results and expected goals · updated 14 November 2026, 03:12 UTC
Scoreline chances
How to readGold outline: the predicted score, built from the likeliest result and each team's expected goals (how). The single most common scoreline is 1–1 (13%), because a win is spread over many scorelines while a draw piles up on a few.
Most common scorelines
Goals
ExplainedGossipBall expects 2.8 goals in total: 1.24 for Nice and 1.51 for Lens.
Winning margin
ExplainedEach team's goals
ExplainedRecent form
Head to head
Full record →In 10 league meetings since 2021, Nice won 5, Lens won 2 and 3 were drawn; the most recent, on 2 May 2026, was a 1–1 draw.
Season averages per game
Questions and answers
Who will win Nice vs Lens?
GossipBall gives Nice a 30% chance of winning, the draw 26% and Lens 43%. GossipBall makes Lens slight favourites to beat Nice away from home.
What is the predicted score for Nice vs Lens?
GossipBall's predicted score is 1–2, based on the likeliest result and each team's expected goals (1.2 for Nice, 1.5 for Lens). Across all results, the most common scorelines are 1–1 (13%), 0–1 (9%), 1–2 (9%).
Will both teams score in Nice vs Lens?
GossipBall gives a 56% chance that both Nice and Lens score.
Will there be three or more goals in Nice vs Lens?
There is a 52% chance of three or more goals. GossipBall expects 2.8 goals in total (1.2 for Nice, 1.5 for Lens).
When is Nice vs Lens?
Kick-off is Saturday 12 December 2026 at 19:45 UTC.
What is the head-to-head record between Nice and Lens?
In 10 league meetings since 2021, Nice won 5, Lens won 2 and 3 were drawn; the most recent, on 2 May 2026, was a 1–1 draw.