Ligue 1Matchday 14Saturday 12 December 2026 ·

Nice vs Lens prediction

30%
home win
predicted score
1–2
9.1% chance
26%
draw
43%
away win
Win probability: home 30%, draw 26%, away 43%

Predict the score

How points work

Play the free GossipBall prediction game: points for the right result and the exact score, weekly leaderboards and private leagues with friends. No prizes, just bragging rights.

Match preview

GossipBall's parrot has been crunching the numbers

GossipBall makes Lens slight favourites to beat Nice away from home in Ligue 1 on Saturday 12 December 2026 at 19:45 UTC. It gives Nice a 30% chance of winning, puts the draw at 26% and gives Lens 43%.

GossipBall expects 1.2 goals from Nice and 1.5 from Lens, so the goals line is finely balanced: there is a 52% chance of three or more goals and a 56% chance that both teams score. GossipBall's predicted score is 1–2. Nice keep a clean sheet in 22% of outcomes, Lens in 29%.

Nice are 6th in the table with 17 points from 10 games; Lens are 11th with 13. In their last five league games Nice took 12 points (WLWWW) and Lens took 9 (WWWLL). This season Nice average 1.43 expected goals (xG) for and 1.70 against per game; Lens average 1.73 for and 1.56 against.

In 10 league meetings since 2021, Nice won 5, Lens won 2 and 3 were drawn; the most recent, on 2 May 2026, was a 1–1 draw.

GossipBall analysis · based on five seasons of results and expected goals · updated 14 November 2026, 03:12 UTC

Scoreline chances

How to read
0
1
2
3
4
5
0
7
9
7
4
1
<1
1
7
13
9
5
2
<1
2
5
7
6
3
1
<1
3
2
3
2
1
<1
<1
4
<1
<1
<1
<1
<1
5
<1
<1
<1
Rows: Nice goalsColumns: Lens goals

Gold outline: the predicted score, built from the likeliest result and each team's expected goals (how). The single most common scoreline is 1–1 (13%), because a win is spread over many scorelines while a draw piles up on a few.

Most common scorelines

1–112.5%
0–19.1%
1–29.1%
2–17.4%
1–07.3%
0–27.3%
1 or more goals
93%
2 or more goals
77%
3 or more goals
52%
4 or more goals
30%
5 or more goals
14%
Both teams score
56%

GossipBall expects 2.8 goals in total: 1.24 for Nice and 1.51 for Lens.

Winning margin

Explained
Nice by 3
3%
Nice by 2
9%
Nice by 1
17%
Draw
26%
Lens by 3
6%
Lens by 2
13%
Lens by 1
22%

Each team's goals

Explained
Nice expected goals1.24
Lens expected goals1.51
Nice keep a clean sheet22%
Lens keep a clean sheet29%
Nice win without conceding15%
Lens win without conceding22%
Nice score 2 or more35%
Lens score 2 or more45%

Recent form

Nice
W @ Angers2–0 · 8 Nov
W v Rennes5–2 · 30 Oct
W @ Brest2–1 · 23 Oct
L @ Lyon1–2 · 18 Oct
W v Strasbourg2–1 · 11 Oct
Lens
L v Marseille1–2 · 8 Nov
L @ Lille0–1 · 30 Oct
W v Paris FC2–1 · 24 Oct
W @ Troyes3–1 · 17 Oct
W v Lyon2–1 · 9 Oct

Head to head

Full record →

In 10 league meetings since 2021, Nice won 5, Lens won 2 and 3 were drawn; the most recent, on 2 May 2026, was a 1–1 draw.

Nice 1–1 Lens2 May 2026
Lens 2–0 Nice14 Dec 2025
Nice 2–0 Lens8 Feb 2025
Lens 0–0 Nice28 Sep 2024
Lens 1–3 Nice16 Mar 2024
Nice 2–0 Lens20 Dec 2023

Season averages per game

NICRCL
1.50
Goals
1.70
1.20
Conceded
1.50
1.43
xG
1.73
1.70
xG against
1.56
12.4
Shots
12.9
4.4
On target
5.4
5.5
Corners
5.8
2.30
Yellow cards
1.90
20%
Clean sheets
0%
60%
Both score
80%
60%
3+ goals
80%

Questions and answers

Who will win Nice vs Lens?

GossipBall gives Nice a 30% chance of winning, the draw 26% and Lens 43%. GossipBall makes Lens slight favourites to beat Nice away from home.

What is the predicted score for Nice vs Lens?

GossipBall's predicted score is 1–2, based on the likeliest result and each team's expected goals (1.2 for Nice, 1.5 for Lens). Across all results, the most common scorelines are 1–1 (13%), 0–1 (9%), 1–2 (9%).

Will both teams score in Nice vs Lens?

GossipBall gives a 56% chance that both Nice and Lens score.

Will there be three or more goals in Nice vs Lens?

There is a 52% chance of three or more goals. GossipBall expects 2.8 goals in total (1.2 for Nice, 1.5 for Lens).

When is Nice vs Lens?

Kick-off is Saturday 12 December 2026 at 19:45 UTC.

What is the head-to-head record between Nice and Lens?

In 10 league meetings since 2021, Nice won 5, Lens won 2 and 3 were drawn; the most recent, on 2 May 2026, was a 1–1 draw.

GossipBall is a football statistics site, not a gambling service. We do not offer, promote, advertise or link to betting or gambling of any kind, show no bookmaker odds and receive no money from gambling companies. Predictions are statistical probabilities for information and entertainment only; they are not advice of any kind. Legal notice

Not affiliated with any league, club or governing body; names are used for identification only and no club or league logos are shown. Data: football-data.co.uk, football-data.org and openfootball. Photos: Sebastian Schuster, Victor, Lukáš Parničan and nika tchokhonelidze on Unsplash. Flags: circle-flags (MIT licence).

Updated 14 November 2026, 03:12 UTC · About · Legal & privacy · Guide · Previous predictions · Track record · Daily quiz · Weekly email · info@gossipball.com ·

Sign in to play Sign in
Prediction gamePlay now
Leagues
About GossipBallLegal & privacy Updated 14 November 2026, 03:12 UTC