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Nice vs Troyes prediction
Predict the score
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Match preview
GossipBall's parrot has been crunching the numbersGossipBall makes Nice favourites to beat Troyes at home in Ligue 1 on Saturday 28 November 2026 at 19:45 UTC. It gives Nice a 54% chance of winning, puts the draw at 25% and gives Troyes 20%.
GossipBall expects 1.7 goals from Nice and 0.9 from Troyes, so the goals line is finely balanced: there is a 49% chance of three or more goals and a 50% chance that both teams score. GossipBall's predicted score is 2–1. Nice keep a clean sheet in 39% of outcomes, Troyes in 19%.
Nice are 6th in the table with 17 points from 10 games; Troyes are 17th with 8. In their last five league games Nice took 12 points (WLWWW) and Troyes took 4 (LLDWL). This season Nice average 1.43 expected goals (xG) for and 1.70 against per game; Troyes average 1.17 for and 1.55 against.
In 4 league meetings since 2021, Nice won 3, Troyes won 1 and 0 were drawn; the most recent, on 30 Apr 2023, finished Troyes 0–1 Nice, a win for Nice.
GossipBall analysis · based on five seasons of results and expected goals · updated 13 November 2026, 22:23 UTC
Scoreline chances
How to readGold outline: the predicted score, built from the likeliest result and each team's expected goals (how). The single most common scoreline is 1–1 (12%), because a win is spread over many scorelines while a draw piles up on a few.
Most common scorelines
Goals
ExplainedGossipBall expects 2.6 goals in total: 1.69 for Nice and 0.94 for Troyes.
Winning margin
ExplainedEach team's goals
ExplainedRecent form
Head to head
Full record →In 4 league meetings since 2021, Nice won 3, Troyes won 1 and 0 were drawn; the most recent, on 30 Apr 2023, finished Troyes 0–1 Nice, a win for Nice.
Season averages per game
Questions and answers
Who will win Nice vs Troyes?
GossipBall gives Nice a 54% chance of winning, the draw 25% and Troyes 20%. GossipBall makes Nice favourites to beat Troyes at home.
What is the predicted score for Nice vs Troyes?
GossipBall's predicted score is 2–1, based on the likeliest result and each team's expected goals (1.7 for Nice, 0.9 for Troyes). Across all results, the most common scorelines are 1–1 (12%), 1–0 (12%), 2–0 (10%).
Will both teams score in Nice vs Troyes?
GossipBall gives a 50% chance that both Nice and Troyes score.
Will there be three or more goals in Nice vs Troyes?
There is a 49% chance of three or more goals. GossipBall expects 2.6 goals in total (1.7 for Nice, 0.9 for Troyes).
When is Nice vs Troyes?
Kick-off is Saturday 28 November 2026 at 19:45 UTC.
What is the head-to-head record between Nice and Troyes?
In 4 league meetings since 2021, Nice won 3, Troyes won 1 and 0 were drawn; the most recent, on 30 Apr 2023, finished Troyes 0–1 Nice, a win for Nice.