Ligue 1Matchday 11Saturday 21 November 2026 ·

Strasbourg vs Brest prediction

49%
home win
predicted score
2–1
9.4% chance
24%
draw
27%
away win
Win probability: home 49%, draw 24%, away 27%

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Match preview

GossipBall's parrot has been crunching the numbers

GossipBall makes Strasbourg favourites to beat Brest at home in Ligue 1 on Saturday 21 November 2026 at 19:45 UTC. It gives Strasbourg a 49% chance of winning, puts the draw at 24% and gives Brest 27%.

GossipBall expects 1.9 goals from Strasbourg and 1.3 from Brest, so goals look likely: there is a 62% chance of three or more goals and a 63% chance that both teams score. GossipBall's predicted score is 2–1. Strasbourg keep a clean sheet in 26% of outcomes, Brest in 15%.

Strasbourg are 13th in the table with 10 points from 9 games; Brest are 10th with 12. In their last five league games Strasbourg took 3 points (LLLLW) and Brest took 7 (LWDLW). This season Strasbourg average 1.32 expected goals (xG) for and 1.79 against per game; Brest average 1.98 for and 1.30 against.

In 10 league meetings since 2021, Strasbourg won 3, Brest won 4 and 3 were drawn; the most recent, on 13 May 2026, finished Brest 1–2 Strasbourg, a win for Strasbourg.

GossipBall analysis · based on five seasons of results and expected goals · updated 7 November 2026, 13:02 UTC

Scoreline chances

How to read
0
1
2
3
4
5
0
4
5
4
2
<1
<1
1
7
11
7
3
1
<1
2
7
9
6
3
<1
<1
3
4
6
4
2
<1
<1
4
2
3
2
<1
<1
5
<1
1
<1
<1
<1
Rows: Strasbourg goalsColumns: Brest goals

Gold outline: the predicted score, built from the likeliest result and each team's expected goals (how). The single most common scoreline is 1–1 (11%), because a win is spread over many scorelines while a draw piles up on a few.

Most common scorelines

1–110.6%
2–19.4%
1–07.0%
2–07.0%
1–26.8%
2–26.4%
1 or more goals
96%
2 or more goals
84%
3 or more goals
62%
4 or more goals
40%
5 or more goals
22%
Both teams score
63%

GossipBall expects 3.2 goals in total: 1.87 for Strasbourg and 1.35 for Brest.

Winning margin

Explained
Strasbourg by 3
8%
Strasbourg by 2
15%
Strasbourg by 1
21%
Draw
24%
Brest by 3
3%
Brest by 2
8%
Brest by 1
15%

Each team's goals

Explained
Strasbourg expected goals1.87
Brest expected goals1.35
Strasbourg keep a clean sheet26%
Brest keep a clean sheet15%
Strasbourg win without conceding21%
Brest win without conceding11%
Strasbourg score 2 or more56%
Brest score 2 or more39%

Recent form

Strasbourg
W v Auxerre5–1 · 1 Nov
L @ Rennes0–3 · 25 Oct
L v Paris Saint-Germain1–3 · 17 Oct
L @ Nice1–2 · 11 Oct
L @ Paris FC1–2 · 19 Sep
Brest
W @ Lorient2–0 · 2 Nov
L v Nice1–2 · 23 Oct
D @ Lille1–1 · 17 Oct
W v Angers5–1 · 10 Oct
L @ Auxerre1–2 · 20 Sep

Head to head

Full record →

In 10 league meetings since 2021, Strasbourg won 3, Brest won 4 and 3 were drawn; the most recent, on 13 May 2026, finished Brest 1–2 Strasbourg, a win for Strasbourg.

Brest 1–2 Strasbourg13 May 2026
Strasbourg 1–2 Brest30 Nov 2025
Strasbourg 0–0 Brest23 Feb 2025
Brest 3–1 Strasbourg30 Nov 2024
Strasbourg 0–3 Brest24 Feb 2024
Brest 1–1 Strasbourg7 Dec 2023

Season averages per game

RC BRE
1.89
Goals
1.78
2.11
Conceded
1.33
1.32
xG
1.98
1.79
xG against
1.30
13.0
Shots
16.3
5.0
On target
5.7
2.7
Corners
4.3
1.56
Yellow cards
1.44
0%
Clean sheets
11%
78%
Both score
78%
89%
3+ goals
67%

Questions and answers

Who will win Strasbourg vs Brest?

GossipBall gives Strasbourg a 49% chance of winning, the draw 24% and Brest 27%. GossipBall makes Strasbourg favourites to beat Brest at home.

What is the predicted score for Strasbourg vs Brest?

GossipBall's predicted score is 2–1, based on the likeliest result and each team's expected goals (1.9 for Strasbourg, 1.3 for Brest). Across all results, the most common scorelines are 1–1 (11%), 2–1 (9%), 1–0 (7%).

Will both teams score in Strasbourg vs Brest?

GossipBall gives a 63% chance that both Strasbourg and Brest score.

Will there be three or more goals in Strasbourg vs Brest?

There is a 62% chance of three or more goals. GossipBall expects 3.2 goals in total (1.9 for Strasbourg, 1.3 for Brest).

When is Strasbourg vs Brest?

Kick-off is Saturday 21 November 2026 at 19:45 UTC.

What is the head-to-head record between Strasbourg and Brest?

In 10 league meetings since 2021, Strasbourg won 3, Brest won 4 and 3 were drawn; the most recent, on 13 May 2026, finished Brest 1–2 Strasbourg, a win for Strasbourg.

GossipBall is a football statistics site, not a gambling service. We do not offer, promote, advertise or link to betting or gambling of any kind, show no bookmaker odds and receive no money from gambling companies. Predictions are statistical probabilities for information and entertainment only; they are not advice of any kind. Legal notice

Not affiliated with any league, club or governing body; names are used for identification only and no club or league logos are shown. Data: football-data.co.uk, football-data.org and openfootball. Photos: Sebastian Schuster, Victor, Lukáš Parničan and nika tchokhonelidze on Unsplash. Flags: circle-flags (MIT licence).

Updated 7 November 2026, 13:02 UTC · About · Legal & privacy · Guide · Previous predictions · Track record · Daily quiz · Weekly email · info@gossipball.com ·

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About GossipBallLegal & privacy Updated 7 November 2026, 13:02 UTC