Troyes vs Lyon prediction
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Match preview
GossipBall's parrot has been crunching the numbersGossipBall makes Lyon favourites to beat Troyes away from home in Ligue 1 on Sunday 6 December 2026 at 14:00 UTC. It gives Troyes a 23% chance of winning, puts the draw at 26% and gives Lyon 52%.
GossipBall expects 1.0 goals from Troyes and 1.6 from Lyon, so the goals line is finely balanced: there is a 49% chance of three or more goals and a 52% chance that both teams score. GossipBall's predicted score is 1–2. Troyes keep a clean sheet in 19% of outcomes, Lyon in 37%.
Troyes are 17th in the table with 8 points from 10 games; Lyon are 5th with 17. In their last five league games Troyes took 4 points (LLDWL) and Lyon took 6 (LWLWL). This season Troyes average 1.17 expected goals (xG) for and 1.55 against per game; Lyon average 1.50 for and 1.22 against.
In 4 league meetings since 2021, Troyes won 0, Lyon won 4 and 0 were drawn; the most recent, on 4 Feb 2023, finished Troyes 1–3 Lyon, a win for Lyon.
GossipBall analysis · based on five seasons of results and expected goals · updated 13 November 2026, 22:23 UTC
Scoreline chances
How to readGold outline: the predicted score, built from the likeliest result and each team's expected goals (how). The single most common scoreline is 1–1 (12%), because a win is spread over many scorelines while a draw piles up on a few.
Most common scorelines
Goals
ExplainedGossipBall expects 2.6 goals in total: 1.01 for Troyes and 1.64 for Lyon.
Winning margin
ExplainedEach team's goals
ExplainedRecent form
Head to head
Full record →In 4 league meetings since 2021, Troyes won 0, Lyon won 4 and 0 were drawn; the most recent, on 4 Feb 2023, finished Troyes 1–3 Lyon, a win for Lyon.
Season averages per game
Questions and answers
Who will win Troyes vs Lyon?
GossipBall gives Troyes a 23% chance of winning, the draw 26% and Lyon 52%. GossipBall makes Lyon favourites to beat Troyes away from home.
What is the predicted score for Troyes vs Lyon?
GossipBall's predicted score is 1–2, based on the likeliest result and each team's expected goals (1.0 for Troyes, 1.6 for Lyon). Across all results, the most common scorelines are 1–1 (12%), 0–1 (11%), 1–2 (10%).
Will both teams score in Troyes vs Lyon?
GossipBall gives a 52% chance that both Troyes and Lyon score.
Will there be three or more goals in Troyes vs Lyon?
There is a 49% chance of three or more goals. GossipBall expects 2.6 goals in total (1.0 for Troyes, 1.6 for Lyon).
When is Troyes vs Lyon?
Kick-off is Sunday 6 December 2026 at 14:00 UTC.
What is the head-to-head record between Troyes and Lyon?
In 4 league meetings since 2021, Troyes won 0, Lyon won 4 and 0 were drawn; the most recent, on 4 Feb 2023, finished Troyes 1–3 Lyon, a win for Lyon.