GossipBall
Premier LeagueTuesday 30 December 2025 ·

Arsenal vs Aston Villa result and stats

61%
test home win
4–1
full time
23%
draw
17%
test away win
Win probability: home 61%, draw 23%, away 17%

Match report

GossipBall's parrot has been crunching the numbers

Arsenal beat Aston Villa 4–1 at home in the Premier League on Tuesday 30 December 2025. This match was played before GossipBall launched. In a retrospective test using only results available before kick-off, GossipBall's ratings gave Arsenal 61%, the draw 23% and Aston Villa 17%, so a home win had a 61% chance. The favourite result came in.

GossipBall analysis · based on five seasons of results and expected goals · updated 30 October 2026, 05:56 UTC

Match stats

ARAV
22
Shots
11
7
On target
3
3
Corners
3
18
Fouls
9
2
Yellow cards
3
0
Red cards
0
0
Half-time goals
0

Referee: D England

Recent form

Arsenal
W v Brighton2–1 · 27 Dec
W @ Everton1–0 · 20 Dec
W v Wolves2–1 · 13 Dec
L @ Aston Villa1–2 · 6 Dec
W v Brentford2–0 · 3 Dec
Aston Villa
W @ Chelsea2–1 · 27 Dec
W v Manchester United2–1 · 21 Dec
W @ West Ham3–2 · 14 Dec
W v Arsenal2–1 · 6 Dec
W @ Brighton4–3 · 3 Dec

Head to head

In 9 league meetings since 2021, Arsenal won 5, Aston Villa won 3 and 1 was drawn; the most recent, on 6 Dec 2025, finished Aston Villa 2–1 Arsenal, a win for Aston Villa.

Aston Villa 2–1 Arsenal6 Dec 2025
Arsenal 2–2 Aston Villa18 Jan 2025
Aston Villa 0–2 Arsenal24 Aug 2024
Arsenal 0–2 Aston Villa14 Apr 2024
Aston Villa 1–0 Arsenal9 Dec 2023
Aston Villa 2–4 Arsenal18 Feb 2023

GossipBall is a football statistics site, not a gambling service. We do not offer, promote, advertise or link to betting or gambling of any kind, show no bookmaker odds and receive no money from gambling companies. Predictions are statistical probabilities for information and entertainment only; they are not advice of any kind. Legal notice

Not affiliated with any league, club or governing body; names are used for identification only and no club or league logos are shown. Data: football-data.co.uk, football-data.org and openfootball. Photos: Sebastian Schuster, Victor, Lukáš Parničan and nika tchokhonelidze on Unsplash.

Updated 30 October 2026, 05:56 UTC · About · Legal & privacy · Guide · Previous predictions · Track record · [email protected]