GossipBall
Premier LeagueSunday 21 September 2025 ·

Arsenal vs Manchester City result and stats

44%
test home win
1–1
full time
26%
draw
30%
test away win
Win probability: home 44%, draw 26%, away 30%

Match report

GossipBall's parrot has been crunching the numbers

Arsenal and Manchester City drew 1–1 in the Premier League on Sunday 21 September 2025. This match was played before GossipBall launched. In a retrospective test using only results available before kick-off, GossipBall's ratings gave Arsenal 44%, the draw 26% and Manchester City 30%, so a draw had a 26% chance. It would have been an upset.

GossipBall analysis · based on five seasons of results and expected goals · updated 30 October 2026, 05:56 UTC

Match stats

ARMC
12
Shots
5
3
On target
3
11
Corners
2
11
Fouls
10
1
Yellow cards
2
0
Red cards
0
0
Half-time goals
1

Referee: S Attwell

Recent form

Arsenal
W v Nottingham Forest3–0 · 13 Sep
L @ Liverpool0–1 · 31 Aug
W v Leeds5–0 · 23 Aug
W @ Manchester United1–0 · 17 Aug
W @ Southampton2–1 · 25 May
Manchester City
W v Manchester United3–0 · 14 Sep
L @ Brighton1–2 · 31 Aug
L v Tottenham0–2 · 23 Aug
W @ Wolves4–0 · 16 Aug
W @ Fulham2–0 · 25 May

Head to head

In 8 league meetings since 2021, Arsenal won 2, Manchester City won 4 and 2 were drawn; the most recent, on 2 Feb 2025, finished Arsenal 5–1 Manchester City, a win for Arsenal.

Arsenal 5–1 Manchester City2 Feb 2025
Manchester City 2–2 Arsenal22 Sep 2024
Manchester City 0–0 Arsenal31 Mar 2024
Arsenal 1–0 Manchester City8 Oct 2023
Manchester City 4–1 Arsenal26 Apr 2023
Arsenal 1–3 Manchester City15 Feb 2023

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Not affiliated with any league, club or governing body; names are used for identification only and no club or league logos are shown. Data: football-data.co.uk, football-data.org and openfootball. Photos: Sebastian Schuster, Victor, Lukáš Parničan and nika tchokhonelidze on Unsplash.

Updated 30 October 2026, 05:56 UTC · About · Legal & privacy · Guide · Previous predictions · Track record · [email protected]