Aston Villa vs Manchester City result and stats
Win probability: home 23%, draw 24%, away 53%
Match report
GossipBall's parrot has been crunching the numbersAston Villa beat Manchester City 1–0 at home in the Premier League on Sunday 26 October 2025. This match was played before GossipBall launched. In a retrospective test using only results available before kick-off, GossipBall's ratings gave Aston Villa 23%, the draw 24% and Manchester City 53%, so a home win had a 23% chance. It would have been an upset.
GossipBall analysis · based on five seasons of results and expected goals · updated 30 October 2026, 05:56 UTC
Match stats
AVMC
9Shots18
3On target4
5Corners6
8Fouls16
1Yellow cards4
0Red cards0
1Half-time goals0
Referee: M Oliver
Recent form
Aston Villa
W @ Tottenham2–1 · 19 Oct
W v Burnley2–1 · 5 Oct
W v Fulham3–1 · 28 Sep
D @ Sunderland1–1 · 21 Sep
D @ Everton0–0 · 13 Sep
Manchester City
W v Everton2–0 · 18 Oct
W @ Brentford1–0 · 5 Oct
W v Burnley5–1 · 27 Sep
D @ Arsenal1–1 · 21 Sep
W v Manchester United3–0 · 14 Sep
Head to head
In 8 league meetings since 2021, Aston Villa won 2, Manchester City won 5 and 1 was drawn; the most recent, on 22 Apr 2025, finished Manchester City 2–1 Aston Villa, a win for Manchester City.
Manchester City 2–1 Aston Villa22 Apr 2025
Aston Villa 2–1 Manchester City21 Dec 2024
Manchester City 4–1 Aston Villa3 Apr 2024
Aston Villa 1–0 Manchester City6 Dec 2023
Manchester City 3–1 Aston Villa12 Feb 2023
Aston Villa 1–1 Manchester City3 Sep 2022