Leeds vs Coventry prediction
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Match preview
GossipBall's parrot has been crunching the numbersGossipBall makes Leeds favourites to beat Coventry at home in the Premier League on Saturday 28 November 2026 at 15:00 UTC. It gives Leeds a 51% chance of winning, puts the draw at 27% and gives Coventry 22%.
GossipBall expects 1.6 goals from Leeds and 1.0 from Coventry, so the goals line is finely balanced: there is a 47% chance of three or more goals and a 50% chance that both teams score. GossipBall's predicted score is 2–1. Leeds keep a clean sheet in 38% of outcomes, Coventry in 20%.
Leeds are 9th in the table with 14 points from 10 games; Coventry are 17th with 9. In their last five league games Leeds took 5 points (LDDLW) and Coventry took 6 (WLLWL). This season Leeds average 1.31 expected goals (xG) for and 1.24 against per game; Coventry average 0.95 for and 1.51 against.
GossipBall analysis · based on five seasons of results and expected goals · updated 13 November 2026, 22:23 UTC
Scoreline chances
How to readGold outline: the predicted score, built from the likeliest result and each team's expected goals (how). The single most common scoreline is 1–1 (13%), because a win is spread over many scorelines while a draw piles up on a few.
Most common scorelines
Goals
ExplainedGossipBall expects 2.6 goals in total: 1.61 for Leeds and 0.96 for Coventry.
Winning margin
ExplainedEach team's goals
ExplainedRecent form
Head to head
Full record →These teams haven't met in this league in the last five seasons.
Season averages per game
Questions and answers
Who will win Leeds vs Coventry?
GossipBall gives Leeds a 51% chance of winning, the draw 27% and Coventry 22%. GossipBall makes Leeds favourites to beat Coventry at home.
What is the predicted score for Leeds vs Coventry?
GossipBall's predicted score is 2–1, based on the likeliest result and each team's expected goals (1.6 for Leeds, 1.0 for Coventry). Across all results, the most common scorelines are 1–1 (13%), 1–0 (11%), 2–0 (10%).
Will both teams score in Leeds vs Coventry?
GossipBall gives a 50% chance that both Leeds and Coventry score.
Will there be three or more goals in Leeds vs Coventry?
There is a 47% chance of three or more goals. GossipBall expects 2.6 goals in total (1.6 for Leeds, 1.0 for Coventry).
When is Leeds vs Coventry?
Kick-off is Saturday 28 November 2026 at 15:00 UTC.