Premier LeagueMatchday 12Saturday 28 November 2026 ·

Manchester United vs Brentford prediction

predicted score
2–1
9.1% chance
25%
draw
31%
away win
Win probability: home 44%, draw 25%, away 31%

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Match preview

GossipBall's parrot has been crunching the numbers

GossipBall makes Manchester United slight favourites to beat Brentford at home in the Premier League on Saturday 28 November 2026 at 15:00 UTC. It gives Manchester United a 44% chance of winning, puts the draw at 25% and gives Brentford 31%.

GossipBall expects 1.7 goals from Manchester United and 1.4 from Brentford, so goals look likely: there is a 60% chance of three or more goals and a 63% chance that both teams score. GossipBall's predicted score is 2–1. Manchester United keep a clean sheet in 25% of outcomes, Brentford in 18%.

Manchester United are 18th in the table with 8 points from 10 games; Brentford are 8th with 14. In their last five league games Manchester United took 3 points (DDLLD) and Brentford took 5 (DLDWL). This season Manchester United average 1.74 expected goals (xG) for and 1.78 against per game; Brentford average 1.45 for and 1.48 against.

In 10 league meetings since 2022, Manchester United won 6, Brentford won 3 and 1 was drawn; the most recent, on 27 Apr 2026, finished Manchester United 2–1 Brentford, a win for Manchester United.

GossipBall analysis · based on five seasons of results and expected goals · updated 13 November 2026, 22:23 UTC

Scoreline chances

How to read
0
1
2
3
4
5
0
5
5
4
2
<1
<1
1
7
12
8
4
1
<1
2
6
9
6
3
1
<1
3
4
5
4
2
<1
<1
4
2
2
2
<1
<1
5
<1
<1
<1
<1
Rows: Manchester United goalsColumns: Brentford goals

Gold outline: the predicted score, built from the likeliest result and each team's expected goals (how). The single most common scoreline is 1–1 (12%), because a win is spread over many scorelines while a draw piles up on a few.

Most common scorelines

1–111.6%
2–19.1%
1–27.5%
1–06.7%
2–06.5%
2–26.4%
1 or more goals
95%
2 or more goals
82%
3 or more goals
60%
4 or more goals
38%
5 or more goals
20%
Both teams score
63%

GossipBall expects 3.1 goals in total: 1.70 for Manchester United and 1.40 for Brentford.

Winning margin

Explained
Manchester United by 3
6%
Manchester United by 2
13%
Manchester United by 1
20%
Draw
25%
Brentford by 3
4%
Brentford by 2
9%
Brentford by 1
17%

Each team's goals

Explained
Manchester United expected goals1.70
Brentford expected goals1.40
Manchester United keep a clean sheet25%
Brentford keep a clean sheet18%
Manchester United win without conceding19%
Brentford win without conceding13%
Manchester United score 2 or more51%
Brentford score 2 or more41%

Recent form

Manchester United
D v Aston Villa4–4 · 8 Nov
L @ Chelsea0–2 · 31 Oct
L v Bournemouth0–3 · 25 Oct
D @ Leeds1–1 · 18 Oct
D v Tottenham1–1 · 10 Oct
Brentford
L @ Brighton0–2 · 8 Nov
W v Nottingham Forest2–0 · 31 Oct
D @ Hull1–1 · 25 Oct
L v Liverpool1–2 · 17 Oct
D @ Aston Villa2–2 · 10 Oct

Head to head

Full record →

In 10 league meetings since 2022, Manchester United won 6, Brentford won 3 and 1 was drawn; the most recent, on 27 Apr 2026, finished Manchester United 2–1 Brentford, a win for Manchester United.

Manchester United 2–1 Brentford27 Apr 2026
Brentford 3–1 Manchester United27 Sep 2025
Brentford 4–3 Manchester United4 May 2025
Manchester United 2–1 Brentford19 Oct 2024
Brentford 1–1 Manchester United30 Mar 2024
Manchester United 2–1 Brentford7 Oct 2023

Season averages per game

MUNBRE
1.40
Goals
1.60
1.90
Conceded
1.10
1.74
xG
1.45
1.78
xG against
1.48
19.3
Shots
13.1
5.4
On target
3.6
6.3
Corners
3.9
2.30
Yellow cards
2.40
0%
Clean sheets
30%
60%
Both score
60%
40%
3+ goals
50%

Questions and answers

Who will win Manchester United vs Brentford?

GossipBall gives Manchester United a 44% chance of winning, the draw 25% and Brentford 31%. GossipBall makes Manchester United slight favourites to beat Brentford at home.

What is the predicted score for Manchester United vs Brentford?

GossipBall's predicted score is 2–1, based on the likeliest result and each team's expected goals (1.7 for Manchester United, 1.4 for Brentford). Across all results, the most common scorelines are 1–1 (12%), 2–1 (9%), 1–2 (8%).

Will both teams score in Manchester United vs Brentford?

GossipBall gives a 63% chance that both Manchester United and Brentford score.

Will there be three or more goals in Manchester United vs Brentford?

There is a 60% chance of three or more goals. GossipBall expects 3.1 goals in total (1.7 for Manchester United, 1.4 for Brentford).

When is Manchester United vs Brentford?

Kick-off is Saturday 28 November 2026 at 15:00 UTC.

What is the head-to-head record between Manchester United and Brentford?

In 10 league meetings since 2022, Manchester United won 6, Brentford won 3 and 1 was drawn; the most recent, on 27 Apr 2026, finished Manchester United 2–1 Brentford, a win for Manchester United.

GossipBall is a football statistics site, not a gambling service. We do not offer, promote, advertise or link to betting or gambling of any kind, show no bookmaker odds and receive no money from gambling companies. Predictions are statistical probabilities for information and entertainment only; they are not advice of any kind. Legal notice

Not affiliated with any league, club or governing body; names are used for identification only and no club or league logos are shown. Data: football-data.co.uk, football-data.org and openfootball. Photos: Sebastian Schuster, Victor, Lukáš Parničan and nika tchokhonelidze on Unsplash. Flags: circle-flags (MIT licence).

Updated 13 November 2026, 22:23 UTC · About · Legal & privacy · Guide · Previous predictions · Track record · Daily quiz · Weekly email · info@gossipball.com ·

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About GossipBallLegal & privacy Updated 13 November 2026, 22:23 UTC