Premier LeagueMatchday 14Saturday 5 December 2026 ·

Manchester United vs Coventry prediction

predicted score
2–1
10.0% chance
23%
draw
18%
away win
Win probability: home 59%, draw 23%, away 18%

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Match preview

GossipBall's parrot has been crunching the numbers

GossipBall makes Manchester United favourites to beat Coventry at home in the Premier League on Saturday 5 December 2026 at 15:00 UTC. It gives Manchester United a 59% chance of winning, puts the draw at 23% and gives Coventry 18%.

GossipBall expects 2.0 goals from Manchester United and 1.0 from Coventry, so the goals line is finely balanced: there is a 57% chance of three or more goals and a 56% chance that both teams score. GossipBall's predicted score is 2–1. Manchester United keep a clean sheet in 36% of outcomes, Coventry in 14%.

Manchester United are 18th in the table with 8 points from 10 games; Coventry are 17th with 9. In their last five league games Manchester United took 3 points (DDLLD) and Coventry took 6 (WLLWL). This season Manchester United average 1.74 expected goals (xG) for and 1.78 against per game; Coventry average 0.95 for and 1.51 against.

GossipBall analysis · based on five seasons of results and expected goals · updated 13 November 2026, 22:23 UTC

Scoreline chances

How to read
0
1
2
3
4
5
0
6
4
3
<1
<1
1
9
11
5
2
<1
2
10
10
5
2
<1
3
6
7
3
1
<1
4
3
3
2
<1
<1
5
1
1
<1
<1
Rows: Manchester United goalsColumns: Coventry goals

Gold outline: the predicted score, built from the likeliest result and each team's expected goals (how). The single most common scoreline is 1–1 (11%), because a win is spread over many scorelines while a draw piles up on a few.

Most common scorelines

1–110.9%
2–110.0%
2–09.8%
1–09.1%
3–16.5%
3–06.4%
1 or more goals
94%
2 or more goals
81%
3 or more goals
57%
4 or more goals
35%
5 or more goals
18%
Both teams score
56%

GossipBall expects 3.0 goals in total: 1.97 for Manchester United and 1.02 for Coventry.

Winning margin

Explained
Manchester United by 3
10%
Manchester United by 2
18%
Manchester United by 1
23%
Draw
23%
Coventry by 3
1%
Coventry by 2
5%
Coventry by 1
12%

Each team's goals

Explained
Manchester United expected goals1.97
Coventry expected goals1.02
Manchester United keep a clean sheet36%
Coventry keep a clean sheet14%
Manchester United win without conceding30%
Coventry win without conceding8%
Manchester United score 2 or more59%
Coventry score 2 or more27%

Recent form

Manchester United
D v Aston Villa4–4 · 8 Nov
L @ Chelsea0–2 · 31 Oct
L v Bournemouth0–3 · 25 Oct
D @ Leeds1–1 · 18 Oct
D v Tottenham1–1 · 10 Oct
Coventry
L @ Everton1–3 · 6 Nov
W v Sunderland3–1 · 31 Oct
L v Fulham0–1 · 24 Oct
L @ Tottenham1–3 · 19 Oct
W v Newcastle United4–1 · 12 Oct

Head to head

Full record →

These teams haven't met in this league in the last five seasons.

Season averages per game

MUNCOV
1.40
Goals
1.00
1.90
Conceded
1.90
1.74
xG
0.95
1.78
xG against
1.51
19.3
Shots
11.2
5.4
On target
3.3
6.3
Corners
3.6
2.30
Yellow cards
1.10
0%
Clean sheets
10%
60%
Both score
40%
40%
3+ goals
60%

Questions and answers

Who will win Manchester United vs Coventry?

GossipBall gives Manchester United a 59% chance of winning, the draw 23% and Coventry 18%. GossipBall makes Manchester United favourites to beat Coventry at home.

What is the predicted score for Manchester United vs Coventry?

GossipBall's predicted score is 2–1, based on the likeliest result and each team's expected goals (2.0 for Manchester United, 1.0 for Coventry). Across all results, the most common scorelines are 1–1 (11%), 2–1 (10%), 2–0 (10%).

Will both teams score in Manchester United vs Coventry?

GossipBall gives a 56% chance that both Manchester United and Coventry score.

Will there be three or more goals in Manchester United vs Coventry?

There is a 57% chance of three or more goals. GossipBall expects 3.0 goals in total (2.0 for Manchester United, 1.0 for Coventry).

When is Manchester United vs Coventry?

Kick-off is Saturday 5 December 2026 at 15:00 UTC.

GossipBall is a football statistics site, not a gambling service. We do not offer, promote, advertise or link to betting or gambling of any kind, show no bookmaker odds and receive no money from gambling companies. Predictions are statistical probabilities for information and entertainment only; they are not advice of any kind. Legal notice

Not affiliated with any league, club or governing body; names are used for identification only and no club or league logos are shown. Data: football-data.co.uk, football-data.org and openfootball. Photos: Sebastian Schuster, Victor, Lukáš Parničan and nika tchokhonelidze on Unsplash. Flags: circle-flags (MIT licence).

Updated 13 November 2026, 22:23 UTC · About · Legal & privacy · Guide · Previous predictions · Track record · Daily quiz · Weekly email · info@gossipball.com ·

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About GossipBallLegal & privacy Updated 13 November 2026, 22:23 UTC