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Newcastle United vs Manchester United prediction
Predict the score
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Match preview
GossipBall's parrot has been crunching the numbersGossipBall makes Newcastle United slight favourites to beat Manchester United at home in the Premier League on Wednesday 2 December 2026 at 20:15 UTC. It gives Newcastle United a 43% chance of winning, puts the draw at 25% and gives Manchester United 32%.
GossipBall expects 1.7 goals from Newcastle United and 1.5 from Manchester United, so goals look likely: there is a 62% chance of three or more goals and a 64% chance that both teams score. GossipBall's predicted score is 2–1. Newcastle United keep a clean sheet in 23% of outcomes, Manchester United in 18%.
Newcastle United are 12th in the table with 12 points from 10 games; Manchester United are 18th with 8. In their last five league games Newcastle United took 4 points (LLWLD) and Manchester United took 3 (DDLLD). This season Newcastle United average 1.17 expected goals (xG) for and 1.63 against per game; Manchester United average 1.74 for and 1.78 against.
In 10 league meetings since 2021, Newcastle United won 5, Manchester United won 3 and 2 were drawn; the most recent, on 4 Mar 2026, finished Newcastle United 2–1 Manchester United, a win for Newcastle United.
GossipBall analysis · based on five seasons of results and expected goals · updated 13 November 2026, 22:23 UTC
Scoreline chances
How to readGold outline: the predicted score, built from the likeliest result and each team's expected goals (how). The single most common scoreline is 1–1 (11%), because a win is spread over many scorelines while a draw piles up on a few.
Most common scorelines
Goals
ExplainedGossipBall expects 3.2 goals in total: 1.73 for Newcastle United and 1.48 for Manchester United.
Winning margin
ExplainedEach team's goals
ExplainedRecent form
Head to head
Full record →In 10 league meetings since 2021, Newcastle United won 5, Manchester United won 3 and 2 were drawn; the most recent, on 4 Mar 2026, finished Newcastle United 2–1 Manchester United, a win for Newcastle United.
Season averages per game
Questions and answers
Who will win Newcastle United vs Manchester United?
GossipBall gives Newcastle United a 43% chance of winning, the draw 25% and Manchester United 32%. GossipBall makes Newcastle United slight favourites to beat Manchester United at home.
What is the predicted score for Newcastle United vs Manchester United?
GossipBall's predicted score is 2–1, based on the likeliest result and each team's expected goals (1.7 for Newcastle United, 1.5 for Manchester United). Across all results, the most common scorelines are 1–1 (11%), 2–1 (9%), 1–2 (8%).
Will both teams score in Newcastle United vs Manchester United?
GossipBall gives a 64% chance that both Newcastle United and Manchester United score.
Will there be three or more goals in Newcastle United vs Manchester United?
There is a 62% chance of three or more goals. GossipBall expects 3.2 goals in total (1.7 for Newcastle United, 1.5 for Manchester United).
When is Newcastle United vs Manchester United?
Kick-off is Wednesday 2 December 2026 at 20:15 UTC.
What is the head-to-head record between Newcastle United and Manchester United?
In 10 league meetings since 2021, Newcastle United won 5, Manchester United won 3 and 2 were drawn; the most recent, on 4 Mar 2026, finished Newcastle United 2–1 Manchester United, a win for Newcastle United.