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Newcastle United vs Sunderland prediction
Predict the score
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Match preview
GossipBall's parrot has been crunching the numbersGossipBall makes Newcastle United favourites to beat Sunderland at home in the Premier League on Sunday 6 December 2026 at 14:00 UTC. It gives Newcastle United a 49% chance of winning, puts the draw at 26% and gives Sunderland 25%.
GossipBall expects 1.6 goals from Newcastle United and 1.1 from Sunderland, so the goals line is finely balanced: there is a 52% chance of three or more goals and a 55% chance that both teams score. GossipBall's predicted score is 2–1. Newcastle United keep a clean sheet in 33% of outcomes, Sunderland in 19%.
Newcastle United are 12th in the table with 12 points from 10 games; Sunderland are 19th with 8. In their last five league games Newcastle United took 4 points (LLWLD) and Sunderland took 4 (LLDLW). This season Newcastle United average 1.17 expected goals (xG) for and 1.63 against per game; Sunderland average 1.56 for and 1.64 against.
In 2 league meetings since 2025, Newcastle United won 0, Sunderland won 2 and 0 were drawn; the most recent, on 22 Mar 2026, finished Newcastle United 1–2 Sunderland, a win for Sunderland.
GossipBall analysis · based on five seasons of results and expected goals · updated 13 November 2026, 22:23 UTC
Scoreline chances
How to readGold outline: the predicted score, built from the likeliest result and each team's expected goals (how). The single most common scoreline is 1–1 (13%), because a win is spread over many scorelines while a draw piles up on a few.
Most common scorelines
Goals
ExplainedGossipBall expects 2.8 goals in total: 1.65 for Newcastle United and 1.11 for Sunderland.
Winning margin
ExplainedEach team's goals
ExplainedRecent form
Head to head
Full record →In 2 league meetings since 2025, Newcastle United won 0, Sunderland won 2 and 0 were drawn; the most recent, on 22 Mar 2026, finished Newcastle United 1–2 Sunderland, a win for Sunderland.
Season averages per game
Questions and answers
Who will win Newcastle United vs Sunderland?
GossipBall gives Newcastle United a 49% chance of winning, the draw 26% and Sunderland 25%. GossipBall makes Newcastle United favourites to beat Sunderland at home.
What is the predicted score for Newcastle United vs Sunderland?
GossipBall's predicted score is 2–1, based on the likeliest result and each team's expected goals (1.6 for Newcastle United, 1.1 for Sunderland). Across all results, the most common scorelines are 1–1 (13%), 2–1 (10%), 1–0 (9%).
Will both teams score in Newcastle United vs Sunderland?
GossipBall gives a 55% chance that both Newcastle United and Sunderland score.
Will there be three or more goals in Newcastle United vs Sunderland?
There is a 52% chance of three or more goals. GossipBall expects 2.8 goals in total (1.6 for Newcastle United, 1.1 for Sunderland).
When is Newcastle United vs Sunderland?
Kick-off is Sunday 6 December 2026 at 14:00 UTC.
What is the head-to-head record between Newcastle United and Sunderland?
In 2 league meetings since 2025, Newcastle United won 0, Sunderland won 2 and 0 were drawn; the most recent, on 22 Mar 2026, finished Newcastle United 1–2 Sunderland, a win for Sunderland.