Premier LeagueMatchday 12Sunday 29 November 2026 ·

Sunderland vs Tottenham prediction

40%
home win
predicted score
2–1
8.7% chance
28%
draw
32%
away win
Win probability: home 40%, draw 28%, away 32%

Predict the score

How points work

Play the free GossipBall prediction game: points for the right result and the exact score, weekly leaderboards and private leagues with friends. No prizes, just bragging rights.

Match preview

GossipBall's parrot has been crunching the numbers

GossipBall makes Sunderland slight favourites to beat Tottenham at home in the Premier League on Sunday 29 November 2026 at 14:05 UTC. It gives Sunderland a 40% chance of winning, puts the draw at 28% and gives Tottenham 32%.

GossipBall expects 1.4 goals from Sunderland and 1.2 from Tottenham, so the goals line is finely balanced: there is a 48% chance of three or more goals and a 54% chance that both teams score. GossipBall's predicted score is 2–1. Sunderland keep a clean sheet in 30% of outcomes, Tottenham in 25%.

Sunderland are 19th in the table with 8 points from 10 games; Tottenham are 11th with 12. In their last five league games Sunderland took 4 points (LLDLW) and Tottenham took 10 (DWWWL). This season Sunderland average 1.56 expected goals (xG) for and 1.64 against per game; Tottenham average 1.24 for and 1.20 against.

In 2 league meetings since 2026, Sunderland won 1, Tottenham won 0 and 1 was drawn; the most recent, on 12 Apr 2026, finished Sunderland 1–0 Tottenham, a win for Sunderland.

GossipBall analysis · based on five seasons of results and expected goals · updated 13 November 2026, 22:23 UTC

Scoreline chances

How to read
0
1
2
3
4
5
0
8
8
5
2
<1
<1
1
9
14
8
3
<1
<1
2
7
9
5
2
<1
<1
3
3
4
2
<1
<1
4
1
1
<1
<1
<1
5
<1
<1
<1
<1
Rows: Sunderland goalsColumns: Tottenham goals

Gold outline: the predicted score, built from the likeliest result and each team's expected goals (how). The single most common scoreline is 1–1 (14%), because a win is spread over many scorelines while a draw piles up on a few.

Most common scorelines

1–113.5%
1–09.2%
2–18.7%
0–08.4%
0–17.9%
1–27.6%
1 or more goals
92%
2 or more goals
74%
3 or more goals
48%
4 or more goals
27%
5 or more goals
12%
Both teams score
54%

GossipBall expects 2.6 goals in total: 1.39 for Sunderland and 1.22 for Tottenham.

Winning margin

Explained
Sunderland by 3
5%
Sunderland by 2
12%
Sunderland by 1
21%
Draw
28%
Tottenham by 3
3%
Tottenham by 2
9%
Tottenham by 1
18%

Each team's goals

Explained
Sunderland expected goals1.39
Tottenham expected goals1.22
Sunderland keep a clean sheet30%
Tottenham keep a clean sheet25%
Sunderland win without conceding21%
Tottenham win without conceding16%
Sunderland score 2 or more40%
Tottenham score 2 or more34%

Recent form

Sunderland
W v Chelsea1–0 · 8 Nov
L @ Coventry1–3 · 31 Oct
D v Leeds0–0 · 25 Oct
L @ Bournemouth0–2 · 18 Oct
L v Brighton0–2 · 10 Oct
Tottenham
L @ Leeds0–1 · 7 Nov
W v Crystal Palace2–0 · 31 Oct
W @ Chelsea2–0 · 24 Oct
W v Coventry3–1 · 19 Oct
D @ Manchester United1–1 · 10 Oct

Head to head

Full record →

In 2 league meetings since 2026, Sunderland won 1, Tottenham won 0 and 1 was drawn; the most recent, on 12 Apr 2026, finished Sunderland 1–0 Tottenham, a win for Sunderland.

Sunderland 1–0 Tottenham12 Apr 2026
Tottenham 1–1 Sunderland4 Jan 2026

Season averages per game

SUNTOT
0.80
Goals
1.00
1.70
Conceded
1.10
1.56
xG
1.24
1.64
xG against
1.20
12.2
Shots
15.5
3.6
On target
4.4
4.0
Corners
7.5
2.20
Yellow cards
1.50
30%
Clean sheets
40%
40%
Both score
30%
30%
3+ goals
30%

Questions and answers

Who will win Sunderland vs Tottenham?

GossipBall gives Sunderland a 40% chance of winning, the draw 28% and Tottenham 32%. GossipBall makes Sunderland slight favourites to beat Tottenham at home.

What is the predicted score for Sunderland vs Tottenham?

GossipBall's predicted score is 2–1, based on the likeliest result and each team's expected goals (1.4 for Sunderland, 1.2 for Tottenham). Across all results, the most common scorelines are 1–1 (14%), 1–0 (9%), 2–1 (9%).

Will both teams score in Sunderland vs Tottenham?

GossipBall gives a 54% chance that both Sunderland and Tottenham score.

Will there be three or more goals in Sunderland vs Tottenham?

There is a 48% chance of three or more goals. GossipBall expects 2.6 goals in total (1.4 for Sunderland, 1.2 for Tottenham).

When is Sunderland vs Tottenham?

Kick-off is Sunday 29 November 2026 at 14:05 UTC.

What is the head-to-head record between Sunderland and Tottenham?

In 2 league meetings since 2026, Sunderland won 1, Tottenham won 0 and 1 was drawn; the most recent, on 12 Apr 2026, finished Sunderland 1–0 Tottenham, a win for Sunderland.

GossipBall is a football statistics site, not a gambling service. We do not offer, promote, advertise or link to betting or gambling of any kind, show no bookmaker odds and receive no money from gambling companies. Predictions are statistical probabilities for information and entertainment only; they are not advice of any kind. Legal notice

Not affiliated with any league, club or governing body; names are used for identification only and no club or league logos are shown. Data: football-data.co.uk, football-data.org and openfootball. Photos: Sebastian Schuster, Victor, Lukáš Parničan and nika tchokhonelidze on Unsplash. Flags: circle-flags (MIT licence).

Updated 13 November 2026, 22:23 UTC · About · Legal & privacy · Guide · Previous predictions · Track record · Daily quiz · Weekly email · info@gossipball.com ·

Sign in to play Sign in
Prediction gamePlay now
Leagues
About GossipBallLegal & privacy Updated 13 November 2026, 22:23 UTC