Alverca vs Estoril result and stats
Win probability: home 37%, draw 23%, away 39%

Match report
GossipBall's parrot has been crunching the numbersAlverca and Estoril drew 1–1 in the Primeira Liga on Sunday 10 May 2026. This match was played before GossipBall launched. In a retrospective test using only results available before kick-off, GossipBall's ratings gave Alverca 37%, the draw 23% and Estoril 39%, so a draw had a 23% chance. It would have been an upset.
GossipBall analysis · based on five seasons of results and expected goals · updated 30 October 2026, 05:56 UTC
Match stats
ALES
8Shots11
1On target3
4Corners4
20Fouls15
3Yellow cards2
0Red cards0
1Half-time goals0
Recent form
Alverca
L @ Porto0–1 · 2 May
W v Arouca2–1 · 24 Apr
L @ Nacional0–1 · 18 Apr
W v Casa Pia3–1 · 12 Apr
W @ Rio Ave2–1 · 4 Apr
Estoril
D @ Sp Braga1–1 · 3 May
L v Famalicão0–1 · 26 Apr
L @ Moreirense0–1 · 20 Apr
L v Porto1–3 · 12 Apr
L @ Arouca2–3 · 6 Apr
Head to head
In 1 league meeting since 2025, Alverca won 0, Estoril won 1 and 0 were drawn; the most recent, on 27 Dec 2025, finished Estoril 4–1 Alverca, a win for Estoril.
Estoril 4–1 Alverca27 Dec 2025