Alverca vs Estrela result and stats
Win probability: home 46%, draw 26%, away 29%
Match report
GossipBall's parrot has been crunching the numbersAlverca and Estrela drew 1–1 in the Primeira Liga on Saturday 31 January 2026. This match was played before GossipBall launched. In a retrospective test using only results available before kick-off, GossipBall's ratings gave Alverca 46%, the draw 26% and Estrela 29%, so a draw had a 26% chance. It would have been an upset.
GossipBall analysis · based on five seasons of results and expected goals · updated 30 October 2026, 05:56 UTC
Match stats
ALES
8Shots5
4On target2
9Corners2
17Fouls17
1Yellow cards2
0Red cards0
0Half-time goals0
Recent form
Alverca
L @ Sp Braga0–5 · 25 Jan
W v Moreirense2–1 · 17 Jan
W v Famalicão1–0 · 4 Jan
L @ Estoril1–4 · 27 Dec
L v Porto0–3 · 22 Dec
Estrela
L @ Benfica0–4 · 25 Jan
L v Estoril0–5 · 19 Jan
D v Sp Braga3–3 · 3 Jan
W @ Famalicão3–2 · 27 Dec
D v Moreirense0–0 · 20 Dec
Head to head
In 1 league meeting since 2025, Alverca won 0, Estrela won 0 and 1 was drawn; the most recent, on 25 Aug 2025, was a 2–2 draw.
Estrela 2–2 Alverca25 Aug 2025