GossipBall
Primeira LigaSaturday 17 January 2026 ·

Alverca vs Moreirense result and stats

32%
test home win
2–1
full time
26%
draw
42%
test away win
Win probability: home 32%, draw 26%, away 42%

Match report

GossipBall's parrot has been crunching the numbers

Alverca beat Moreirense 2–1 at home in the Primeira Liga on Saturday 17 January 2026. This match was played before GossipBall launched. In a retrospective test using only results available before kick-off, GossipBall's ratings gave Alverca 32%, the draw 26% and Moreirense 42%, so a home win had a 32% chance. It would have been an upset.

GossipBall analysis · based on five seasons of results and expected goals · updated 30 October 2026, 05:56 UTC

Match stats

ALMO
15
Shots
10
3
On target
4
4
Corners
0
16
Fouls
6
3
Yellow cards
1
0
Red cards
0
0
Half-time goals
0

Recent form

Alverca
W v Famalicão1–0 · 4 Jan
L @ Estoril1–4 · 27 Dec
L v Porto0–3 · 22 Dec
L @ Arouca0–1 · 14 Dec
W v Nacional1–0 · 7 Dec
Moreirense
W v Tondela1–0 · 11 Jan
W @ AVS2–0 · 3 Jan
D @ Estrela0–0 · 20 Dec
L v Benfica0–4 · 14 Dec
D @ Estoril3–3 · 7 Dec

Head to head

In 1 league meeting since 2025, Alverca won 0, Moreirense won 1 and 0 were drawn; the most recent, on 10 Aug 2025, finished Moreirense 2–1 Alverca, a win for Moreirense.

Moreirense 2–1 Alverca10 Aug 2025

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Not affiliated with any league, club or governing body; names are used for identification only and no club or league logos are shown. Data: football-data.co.uk, football-data.org and openfootball. Photos: Sebastian Schuster, Victor, Lukáš Parničan and nika tchokhonelidze on Unsplash.

Updated 30 October 2026, 05:56 UTC · About · Legal & privacy · Guide · Previous predictions · Track record · [email protected]