Arouca vs Casa Pia result and stats
Win probability: home 45%, draw 26%, away 29%
Match report
GossipBall's parrot has been crunching the numbersCasa Pia won 2–0 away at Arouca in the Primeira Liga on Sunday 14 September 2025. This match was played before GossipBall launched. In a retrospective test using only results available before kick-off, GossipBall's ratings gave Arouca 45%, the draw 26% and Casa Pia 29%, so an away win had a 29% chance. It would have been an upset.
GossipBall analysis · based on five seasons of results and expected goals · updated 30 October 2026, 05:56 UTC
Match stats
ARCP
8Shots9
3On target4
7Corners6
18Fouls21
2Yellow cards7
0Red cards0
0Half-time goals1
Recent form
Arouca
D @ Vitória SC1–1 · 30 Aug
D v Rio Ave3–3 · 23 Aug
L @ Sporting CP0–6 · 17 Aug
W v AVS3–1 · 9 Aug
W v Boavista4–1 · 17 May
Casa Pia
L v Nacional0–2 · 30 Aug
L @ Porto0–4 · 24 Aug
W @ AVS2–0 · 15 Aug
L v Sporting CP0–2 · 8 Aug
L @ Famalicão1–2 · 16 May
Head to head
In 6 league meetings since 2022, Arouca won 1, Casa Pia won 3 and 2 were drawn; the most recent, on 4 May 2025, was a 0–0 draw.
Arouca 0–0 Casa Pia4 May 2025
Casa Pia 3–1 Arouca20 Dec 2024
Casa Pia 1–0 Arouca18 Feb 2024
Arouca 0–1 Casa Pia17 Sep 2023
Arouca 2–0 Casa Pia25 Feb 2023
Casa Pia 0–0 Arouca4 Sep 2022