Arouca vs Estoril result and stats
Win probability: home 40%, draw 22%, away 38%
Match report
GossipBall's parrot has been crunching the numbersArouca beat Estoril 3–2 at home in the Primeira Liga on Monday 6 April 2026. This match was played before GossipBall launched. In a retrospective test using only results available before kick-off, GossipBall's ratings gave Arouca 40%, the draw 22% and Estoril 38%, so a home win had a 40% chance. The favourite result came in.
GossipBall analysis · based on five seasons of results and expected goals · updated 30 October 2026, 05:56 UTC
Match stats
ARES
12Shots12
4On target3
3Corners3
13Fouls18
3Yellow cards2
0Red cards0
2Half-time goals2
Recent form
Arouca
W @ Moreirense1–0 · 21 Mar
L v Benfica1–2 · 14 Mar
L @ Famalicão0–1 · 6 Mar
L @ Porto1–3 · 27 Feb
W v Nacional3–0 · 21 Feb
Estoril
L v Rio Ave1–2 · 22 Mar
W @ Nacional1–0 · 15 Mar
D v Casa Pia0–0 · 7 Mar
L @ Sporting CP0–3 · 27 Feb
W v Gil Vicente3–1 · 22 Feb
Head to head
In 9 league meetings since 2021, Arouca won 4, Estoril won 4 and 1 was drawn; the most recent, on 7 Nov 2025, finished Estoril 4–3 Arouca, a win for Estoril.
Estoril 4–3 Arouca7 Nov 2025
Arouca 1–1 Estoril16 Mar 2025
Estoril 4–1 Arouca26 Oct 2024
Estoril 1–2 Arouca20 Jan 2024
Arouca 4–3 Estoril13 Aug 2023
Estoril 2–0 Arouca15 May 2023