Arouca vs Estrela result and stats
Win probability: home 53%, draw 24%, away 23%
Match report
GossipBall's parrot has been crunching the numbersArouca beat Estrela 1–0 at home in the Primeira Liga on Sunday 19 April 2026. This match was played before GossipBall launched. In a retrospective test using only results available before kick-off, GossipBall's ratings gave Arouca 53%, the draw 24% and Estrela 23%, so a home win had a 53% chance. The favourite result came in.
GossipBall analysis · based on five seasons of results and expected goals · updated 30 October 2026, 05:56 UTC
Match stats
ARES
11Shots15
3On target3
4Corners3
15Fouls11
5Yellow cards1
0Red cards0
0Half-time goals0
Recent form
Arouca
L @ Sp Braga0–1 · 12 Apr
W v Estoril3–2 · 6 Apr
W @ Moreirense1–0 · 21 Mar
L v Benfica1–2 · 14 Mar
L @ Famalicão0–1 · 6 Mar
Estrela
L v Sporting CP0–1 · 11 Apr
L @ Nacional0–2 · 4 Apr
W v Casa Pia4–0 · 20 Mar
L @ Rio Ave1–2 · 15 Mar
D v Gil Vicente2–2 · 8 Mar
Head to head
In 5 league meetings since 2023, Arouca won 2, Estrela won 2 and 1 was drawn; the most recent, on 7 Dec 2025, finished Estrela 3–1 Arouca, a win for Estrela.
Estrela 3–1 Arouca7 Dec 2025
Arouca 1–0 Estrela19 Apr 2025
Estrela 2–1 Arouca9 Dec 2024
Arouca 0–0 Estrela5 May 2024
Estrela 1–4 Arouca28 Dec 2023