Arouca vs Nacional result and stats
Win probability: home 41%, draw 25%, away 34%
Match report
GossipBall's parrot has been crunching the numbersArouca beat Nacional 3–0 at home in the Primeira Liga on Saturday 21 February 2026. This match was played before GossipBall launched. In a retrospective test using only results available before kick-off, GossipBall's ratings gave Arouca 41%, the draw 25% and Nacional 34%, so a home win had a 41% chance. The favourite result came in.
GossipBall analysis · based on five seasons of results and expected goals · updated 30 October 2026, 05:56 UTC
Match stats
ARNA
10Shots15
7On target5
4Corners1
13Fouls13
5Yellow cards3
1Red cards1
0Half-time goals0
Recent form
Arouca
L @ Casa Pia2–3 · 14 Feb
W v Vitória SC3–2 · 7 Feb
W @ Rio Ave3–0 · 31 Jan
L v Sporting CP1–2 · 24 Jan
W @ AVS1–0 · 17 Jan
Nacional
L v Porto0–1 · 15 Feb
D v Casa Pia0–0 · 8 Feb
L @ Sporting CP1–2 · 1 Feb
W v Rio Ave4–0 · 25 Jan
L @ Gil Vicente1–2 · 17 Jan
Head to head
In 3 league meetings since 2024, Arouca won 3, Nacional won 0 and 0 were drawn; the most recent, on 20 Sep 2025, finished Nacional 1–2 Arouca, a win for Arouca.
Nacional 1–2 Arouca20 Sep 2025
Nacional 1–2 Arouca1 Feb 2025
Arouca 1–0 Nacional25 Aug 2024