Benfica vs Estrela result and stats
Win probability: home 86%, draw 10%, away 4%
Match report
GossipBall's parrot has been crunching the numbersBenfica beat Estrela 4–0 at home in the Primeira Liga on Sunday 25 January 2026. This match was played before GossipBall launched. In a retrospective test using only results available before kick-off, GossipBall's ratings gave Benfica 86%, the draw 10% and Estrela 4%, so a home win had a 86% chance. The favourite result came in.
GossipBall analysis · based on five seasons of results and expected goals · updated 30 October 2026, 05:56 UTC
Match stats
BEES
15Shots4
8On target1
6Corners1
10Fouls24
3Yellow cards4
0Red cards0
1Half-time goals0
Recent form
Benfica
W @ Rio Ave2–0 · 17 Jan
W v Estoril3–1 · 3 Jan
D @ Sp Braga2–2 · 28 Dec
W v Famalicão1–0 · 22 Dec
W @ Moreirense4–0 · 14 Dec
Estrela
L v Estoril0–5 · 19 Jan
D v Sp Braga3–3 · 3 Jan
W @ Famalicão3–2 · 27 Dec
D v Moreirense0–0 · 20 Dec
L @ Porto1–3 · 15 Dec
Head to head
In 5 league meetings since 2023, Benfica won 5, Estrela won 0 and 0 were drawn; the most recent, on 16 Aug 2025, finished Estrela 0–1 Benfica, a win for Benfica.
Estrela 0–1 Benfica16 Aug 2025
Estrela 2–3 Benfica2 Feb 2025
Benfica 1–0 Estrela24 Aug 2024
Estrela 1–4 Benfica29 Jan 2024
Benfica 2–0 Estrela19 Aug 2023