GossipBall
Primeira LigaTuesday 23 September 2025 ·

Benfica vs Rio Ave result and stats

82%
test home win
1–1
full time
11%
draw
6%
test away win
Win probability: home 82%, draw 11%, away 6%

Match report

GossipBall's parrot has been crunching the numbers

Benfica and Rio Ave drew 1–1 in the Primeira Liga on Tuesday 23 September 2025. This match was played before GossipBall launched. In a retrospective test using only results available before kick-off, GossipBall's ratings gave Benfica 82%, the draw 11% and Rio Ave 6%, so a draw had a 11% chance. It would have been an upset.

GossipBall analysis · based on five seasons of results and expected goals · updated 30 October 2026, 05:56 UTC

Match stats

BERA
19
Shots
4
7
On target
2
11
Corners
2
16
Fouls
16
3
Yellow cards
2
0
Red cards
0
0
Half-time goals
0

Recent form

Benfica
W @ AVS3–0 · 20 Sep
D v Santa Clara1–1 · 12 Sep
W @ Alverca2–1 · 31 Aug
W v Tondela3–0 · 23 Aug
W @ Estrela1–0 · 16 Aug
Rio Ave
L v Porto0–3 · 19 Sep
L @ Moreirense1–3 · 13 Sep
D v Sp Braga2–2 · 31 Aug
D @ Arouca3–3 · 23 Aug
D v Nacional1–1 · 17 Aug

Head to head

In 6 league meetings since 2022, Benfica won 5, Rio Ave won 0 and 1 was drawn; the most recent, on 16 Mar 2025, finished Rio Ave 2–3 Benfica, a win for Benfica.

Rio Ave 2–3 Benfica16 Mar 2025
Benfica 5–0 Rio Ave27 Oct 2024
Rio Ave 1–1 Benfica17 May 2024
Benfica 4–1 Rio Ave14 Jan 2024
Rio Ave 0–1 Benfica2 Apr 2023
Benfica 4–2 Rio Ave8 Oct 2022

GossipBall is a football statistics site, not a gambling service. We do not offer, promote, advertise or link to betting or gambling of any kind, show no bookmaker odds and receive no money from gambling companies. Predictions are statistical probabilities for information and entertainment only; they are not advice of any kind. Legal notice

Not affiliated with any league, club or governing body; names are used for identification only and no club or league logos are shown. Data: football-data.co.uk, football-data.org and openfootball. Photos: Sebastian Schuster, Victor, Lukáš Parničan and nika tchokhonelidze on Unsplash.

Updated 30 October 2026, 05:56 UTC · About · Legal & privacy · Guide · Previous predictions · Track record · [email protected]