Casa Pia vs Arouca result and stats
Win probability: home 44%, draw 24%, away 32%
Match report
GossipBall's parrot has been crunching the numbersCasa Pia beat Arouca 3–2 at home in the Primeira Liga on Saturday 14 February 2026. This match was played before GossipBall launched. In a retrospective test using only results available before kick-off, GossipBall's ratings gave Casa Pia 44%, the draw 24% and Arouca 32%, so a home win had a 44% chance. The favourite result came in.
GossipBall analysis · based on five seasons of results and expected goals · updated 30 October 2026, 05:56 UTC
Match stats
CPAR
11Shots8
4On target4
2Corners3
21Fouls8
5Yellow cards2
0Red cards0
3Half-time goals2
Recent form
Casa Pia
D @ Nacional0–0 · 8 Feb
W v Porto2–1 · 2 Feb
D v AVS3–3 · 23 Jan
L @ Sporting CP0–3 · 16 Jan
L @ Rio Ave1–3 · 4 Jan
Arouca
W v Vitória SC3–2 · 7 Feb
W @ Rio Ave3–0 · 31 Jan
L v Sporting CP1–2 · 24 Jan
W @ AVS1–0 · 17 Jan
L @ Tondela1–3 · 3 Jan
Head to head
In 7 league meetings since 2022, Casa Pia won 4, Arouca won 1 and 2 were drawn; the most recent, on 14 Sep 2025, finished Arouca 0–2 Casa Pia, a win for Casa Pia.
Arouca 0–2 Casa Pia14 Sep 2025
Arouca 0–0 Casa Pia4 May 2025
Casa Pia 3–1 Arouca20 Dec 2024
Casa Pia 1–0 Arouca18 Feb 2024
Arouca 0–1 Casa Pia17 Sep 2023
Arouca 2–0 Casa Pia25 Feb 2023