Casa Pia vs Estoril result and stats
Win probability: home 43%, draw 25%, away 32%
Match report
GossipBall's parrot has been crunching the numbersCasa Pia and Estoril drew 2–2 in the Primeira Liga on Friday 3 October 2025. This match was played before GossipBall launched. In a retrospective test using only results available before kick-off, GossipBall's ratings gave Casa Pia 43%, the draw 25% and Estoril 32%, so a draw had a 25% chance. It would have been an upset.
GossipBall analysis · based on five seasons of results and expected goals · updated 30 October 2026, 05:56 UTC
Match stats
CPES
11Shots10
5On target3
6Corners7
14Fouls12
3Yellow cards3
0Red cards0
2Half-time goals1
Recent form
Casa Pia
L @ Moreirense1–2 · 27 Sep
D v Famalicão1–1 · 21 Sep
W @ Arouca2–0 · 14 Sep
L v Nacional0–2 · 30 Aug
L @ Porto0–4 · 24 Aug
Estoril
L v Sporting CP0–1 · 27 Sep
L @ Gil Vicente0–2 · 21 Sep
W v AVS3–1 · 13 Sep
L v Santa Clara0–1 · 6 Sep
D @ Tondela2–2 · 31 Aug
Head to head
In 6 league meetings since 2023, Casa Pia won 1, Estoril won 3 and 2 were drawn; the most recent, on 29 Apr 2025, finished Casa Pia 1–3 Estoril, a win for Estoril.
Casa Pia 1–3 Estoril29 Apr 2025
Estoril 0–2 Casa Pia15 Dec 2024
Casa Pia 0–0 Estoril8 Apr 2024
Estoril 4–0 Casa Pia10 Nov 2023
Casa Pia 2–2 Estoril21 May 2023
Estoril 2–0 Casa Pia16 Jan 2023