Casa Pia vs Estrela result and stats
Win probability: home 50%, draw 29%, away 22%
Match report
GossipBall's parrot has been crunching the numbersEstrela won 5–3 away at Casa Pia in the Primeira Liga on Saturday 1 November 2025. This match was played before GossipBall launched. In a retrospective test using only results available before kick-off, GossipBall's ratings gave Casa Pia 50%, the draw 29% and Estrela 22%, so an away win had a 22% chance. It would have been an upset.
GossipBall analysis · based on five seasons of results and expected goals · updated 30 October 2026, 05:56 UTC
Match stats
CPES
10Shots12
4On target6
5Corners2
20Fouls21
2Yellow cards3
0Red cards0
1Half-time goals2
Recent form
Casa Pia
L @ Sp Braga0–4 · 26 Oct
D v Estoril2–2 · 3 Oct
L @ Moreirense1–2 · 27 Sep
D v Famalicão1–1 · 21 Sep
W @ Arouca2–0 · 14 Sep
Estrela
L v Rio Ave1–2 · 25 Oct
L @ Gil Vicente0–2 · 4 Oct
W v AVS3–0 · 27 Sep
D @ Tondela0–0 · 21 Sep
L v Vitória SC0–2 · 14 Sep
Head to head
In 4 league meetings since 2023, Casa Pia won 2, Estrela won 2 and 0 were drawn; the most recent, on 9 Feb 2025, finished Casa Pia 1–0 Estrela, a win for Casa Pia.
Casa Pia 1–0 Estrela9 Feb 2025
Estrela 0–1 Casa Pia31 Aug 2024
Estrela 3–1 Casa Pia8 Mar 2024
Casa Pia 0–1 Estrela8 Oct 2023