Casa Pia vs Nacional result and stats
Win probability: home 50%, draw 26%, away 24%
Match report
GossipBall's parrot has been crunching the numbersNacional won 2–0 away at Casa Pia in the Primeira Liga on Saturday 30 August 2025. This match was played before GossipBall launched. In a retrospective test using only results available before kick-off, GossipBall's ratings gave Casa Pia 50%, the draw 26% and Nacional 24%, so an away win had a 24% chance. It would have been an upset.
GossipBall analysis · based on five seasons of results and expected goals · updated 30 October 2026, 05:56 UTC
Match stats
CPNA
9Shots9
3On target2
2Corners3
13Fouls22
2Yellow cards3
0Red cards0
0Half-time goals2
Recent form
Casa Pia
L @ Porto0–4 · 24 Aug
W @ AVS2–0 · 15 Aug
L v Sporting CP0–2 · 8 Aug
L @ Famalicão1–2 · 16 May
W v Sp Braga2–1 · 10 May
Nacional
L v Sporting CP1–4 · 23 Aug
D @ Rio Ave1–1 · 17 Aug
L v Gil Vicente0–2 · 9 Aug
L @ Porto0–3 · 17 May
D v Rio Ave3–3 · 10 May
Head to head
In 2 league meetings since 2024, Casa Pia won 1, Nacional won 1 and 0 were drawn; the most recent, on 16 Mar 2025, finished Nacional 3–1 Casa Pia, a win for Nacional.
Nacional 3–1 Casa Pia16 Mar 2025
Casa Pia 1–0 Nacional25 Oct 2024