GossipBall
Primeira LigaSaturday 16 May 2026 ·

Casa Pia vs Rio Ave result and stats

41%
test home win
1–1
full time
27%
draw
32%
test away win
Win probability: home 41%, draw 27%, away 32%

Match report

GossipBall's parrot has been crunching the numbers

Casa Pia and Rio Ave drew 1–1 in the Primeira Liga on Saturday 16 May 2026. This match was played before GossipBall launched. In a retrospective test using only results available before kick-off, GossipBall's ratings gave Casa Pia 41%, the draw 27% and Rio Ave 32%, so a draw had a 27% chance. It would have been an upset.

GossipBall analysis · based on five seasons of results and expected goals · updated 30 October 2026, 05:56 UTC

Match stats

CPRA
20
Shots
6
5
On target
3
9
Corners
0
17
Fouls
14
1
Yellow cards
0
0
Red cards
0
1
Half-time goals
0

Recent form

Casa Pia
W @ Vitória SC1–0 · 11 May
L v Tondela0–1 · 3 May
L @ Gil Vicente1–2 · 27 Apr
L v Sp Braga0–1 · 23 Apr
D v Santa Clara0–0 · 18 Apr
Rio Ave
L v Sporting CP1–4 · 11 May
D v Gil Vicente0–0 · 3 May
L @ Vitória SC0–2 · 25 Apr
D v AVS2–2 · 17 Apr
W @ Santa Clara2–0 · 11 Apr

Head to head

In 7 league meetings since 2022, Casa Pia won 2, Rio Ave won 2 and 3 were drawn; the most recent, on 4 Jan 2026, finished Rio Ave 3–1 Casa Pia, a win for Rio Ave.

Rio Ave 3–1 Casa Pia4 Jan 2026
Casa Pia 2–1 Rio Ave29 Mar 2025
Rio Ave 2–2 Casa Pia2 Nov 2024
Rio Ave 1–0 Casa Pia11 Feb 2024
Casa Pia 1–1 Rio Ave2 Sep 2023
Rio Ave 1–1 Casa Pia16 Apr 2023

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Not affiliated with any league, club or governing body; names are used for identification only and no club or league logos are shown. Data: football-data.co.uk, football-data.org and openfootball. Photos: Sebastian Schuster, Victor, Lukáš Parničan and nika tchokhonelidze on Unsplash.

Updated 30 October 2026, 05:56 UTC · About · Legal & privacy · Guide · Previous predictions · Track record · [email protected]