Estoril vs Alverca result and stats
Win probability: home 52%, draw 23%, away 25%

Match report
GossipBall's parrot has been crunching the numbersEstoril beat Alverca 4–1 at home in the Primeira Liga on Saturday 27 December 2025. This match was played before GossipBall launched. In a retrospective test using only results available before kick-off, GossipBall's ratings gave Estoril 52%, the draw 23% and Alverca 25%, so a home win had a 52% chance. The favourite result came in.
GossipBall analysis · based on five seasons of results and expected goals · updated 30 October 2026, 05:56 UTC
Match stats
ESAL
9Shots12
4On target7
3Corners7
12Fouls11
2Yellow cards3
0Red cards0
2Half-time goals0
Recent form
Estoril
W v Sp Braga1–0 · 19 Dec
L @ Famalicão0–4 · 14 Dec
D v Moreirense3–3 · 7 Dec
L @ Porto0–1 · 30 Nov
W v Arouca4–3 · 7 Nov
Alverca
L v Porto0–3 · 22 Dec
L @ Arouca0–1 · 14 Dec
W v Nacional1–0 · 7 Dec
W @ Casa Pia2–0 · 29 Nov
D v Rio Ave1–1 · 8 Nov
Head to head
These teams haven't met in this league in the last five seasons.