Estoril vs Arouca result and stats
Win probability: home 50%, draw 23%, away 27%
Match report
GossipBall's parrot has been crunching the numbersEstoril beat Arouca 4–3 at home in the Primeira Liga on Friday 7 November 2025. This match was played before GossipBall launched. In a retrospective test using only results available before kick-off, GossipBall's ratings gave Estoril 50%, the draw 23% and Arouca 27%, so a home win had a 50% chance. The favourite result came in.
GossipBall analysis · based on five seasons of results and expected goals · updated 30 October 2026, 05:56 UTC
Match stats
ESAR
19Shots10
7On target4
10Corners2
9Fouls13
1Yellow cards1
0Red cards0
2Half-time goals2
Recent form
Estoril
W @ Rio Ave4–0 · 1 Nov
D v Nacional1–1 · 26 Oct
D @ Casa Pia2–2 · 3 Oct
L v Sporting CP0–1 · 27 Sep
L @ Gil Vicente0–2 · 21 Sep
Arouca
L v Moreirense0–2 · 2 Nov
L @ Benfica0–5 · 25 Oct
D v Famalicão1–1 · 5 Oct
L v Porto0–4 · 29 Sep
W @ Nacional2–1 · 20 Sep
Head to head
In 8 league meetings since 2021, Estoril won 3, Arouca won 4 and 1 was drawn; the most recent, on 16 Mar 2025, was a 1–1 draw.
Arouca 1–1 Estoril16 Mar 2025
Estoril 4–1 Arouca26 Oct 2024
Estoril 1–2 Arouca20 Jan 2024
Arouca 4–3 Estoril13 Aug 2023
Estoril 2–0 Arouca15 May 2023
Arouca 2–0 Estoril7 Jan 2023