Estoril vs Estrela result and stats
Win probability: home 58%, draw 23%, away 19%
Match report
GossipBall's parrot has been crunching the numbersEstoril and Estrela drew 1–1 in the Primeira Liga on Monday 11 August 2025. This match was played before GossipBall launched. In a retrospective test using only results available before kick-off, GossipBall's ratings gave Estoril 58%, the draw 23% and Estrela 19%, so a draw had a 23% chance. It would have been an upset.
GossipBall analysis · based on five seasons of results and expected goals · updated 30 October 2026, 05:56 UTC
Match stats
ESES
8Shots9
3On target5
4Corners4
13Fouls16
4Yellow cards1
0Red cards0
1Half-time goals0
Recent form
Estoril
W v Estrela4–0 · 17 May
D @ Moreirense2–2 · 11 May
L v Benfica1–2 · 3 May
W @ Casa Pia3–1 · 29 Apr
L v Sp Braga0–2 · 19 Apr
Estrela
L @ Estoril0–4 · 17 May
L v AVS0–1 · 11 May
L @ Rio Ave0–2 · 5 May
W v Porto2–0 · 26 Apr
L @ Arouca0–1 · 19 Apr
Head to head
In 4 league meetings since 2023, Estoril won 3, Estrela won 1 and 0 were drawn; the most recent, on 17 May 2025, finished Estoril 4–0 Estrela, a win for Estoril.
Estoril 4–0 Estrela17 May 2025
Estrela 2–4 Estoril5 Jan 2025
Estoril 1–0 Estrela4 Feb 2024
Estrela 2–1 Estoril25 Aug 2023