GossipBall
Primeira LigaSunday 7 December 2025 ·

Estoril vs Moreirense result and stats

42%
test home win
3–3
full time
24%
draw
34%
test away win
Win probability: home 42%, draw 24%, away 34%

Match report

GossipBall's parrot has been crunching the numbers

Estoril and Moreirense drew 3–3 in the Primeira Liga on Sunday 7 December 2025. This match was played before GossipBall launched. In a retrospective test using only results available before kick-off, GossipBall's ratings gave Estoril 42%, the draw 24% and Moreirense 34%, so a draw had a 24% chance. It would have been an upset.

GossipBall analysis · based on five seasons of results and expected goals · updated 30 October 2026, 05:56 UTC

Match stats

ESMO
9
Shots
8
5
On target
5
1
Corners
5
16
Fouls
14
2
Yellow cards
3
0
Red cards
0
1
Half-time goals
1

Recent form

Estoril
L @ Porto0–1 · 30 Nov
W v Arouca4–3 · 7 Nov
W @ Rio Ave4–0 · 1 Nov
D v Nacional1–1 · 26 Oct
D @ Casa Pia2–2 · 3 Oct
Moreirense
D v Famalicão2–2 · 29 Nov
L @ Sp Braga1–2 · 9 Nov
W @ Arouca2–0 · 2 Nov
L v Porto1–2 · 27 Oct
L @ Nacional2–3 · 4 Oct

Head to head

In 6 league meetings since 2021, Estoril won 1, Moreirense won 3 and 2 were drawn; the most recent, on 11 May 2025, was a 2–2 draw.

Moreirense 2–2 Estoril11 May 2025
Estoril 2–2 Moreirense28 Dec 2024
Moreirense 2–1 Estoril18 May 2024
Estoril 1–3 Moreirense13 Jan 2024
Estoril 1–0 Moreirense7 May 2022
Moreirense 1–0 Estoril28 Dec 2021

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Not affiliated with any league, club or governing body; names are used for identification only and no club or league logos are shown. Data: football-data.co.uk, football-data.org and openfootball. Photos: Sebastian Schuster, Victor, Lukáš Parničan and nika tchokhonelidze on Unsplash.

Updated 30 October 2026, 05:56 UTC · About · Legal & privacy · Guide · Previous predictions · Track record · [email protected]