Estoril vs Nacional result and stats
Win probability: home 47%, draw 24%, away 28%
Match report
GossipBall's parrot has been crunching the numbersEstoril and Nacional drew 1–1 in the Primeira Liga on Sunday 26 October 2025. This match was played before GossipBall launched. In a retrospective test using only results available before kick-off, GossipBall's ratings gave Estoril 47%, the draw 24% and Nacional 28%, so a draw had a 24% chance. It would have been an upset.
GossipBall analysis · based on five seasons of results and expected goals · updated 30 October 2026, 05:56 UTC
Match stats
ESNA
13Shots9
4On target4
6Corners5
13Fouls15
3Yellow cards3
0Red cards0
0Half-time goals1
Recent form
Estoril
D @ Casa Pia2–2 · 3 Oct
L v Sporting CP0–1 · 27 Sep
L @ Gil Vicente0–2 · 21 Sep
W v AVS3–1 · 13 Sep
L v Santa Clara0–1 · 6 Sep
Nacional
W v Moreirense3–2 · 4 Oct
W @ Sp Braga1–0 · 28 Sep
L v Arouca1–2 · 20 Sep
L @ Porto0–1 · 13 Sep
W @ Casa Pia2–0 · 30 Aug
Head to head
In 2 league meetings since 2024, Estoril won 1, Nacional won 0 and 1 was drawn; the most recent, on 15 Feb 2025, was a 2–2 draw.
Nacional 2–2 Estoril15 Feb 2025
Estoril 1–0 Nacional15 Sep 2024