Estoril vs Rio Ave result and stats
Win probability: home 57%, draw 21%, away 22%
Match report
GossipBall's parrot has been crunching the numbersRio Ave won 2–1 away at Estoril in the Primeira Liga on Sunday 22 March 2026. This match was played before GossipBall launched. In a retrospective test using only results available before kick-off, GossipBall's ratings gave Estoril 57%, the draw 21% and Rio Ave 22%, so an away win had a 22% chance. It would have been an upset.
GossipBall analysis · based on five seasons of results and expected goals · updated 30 October 2026, 05:56 UTC
Match stats
ESRA
13Shots13
4On target8
11Corners7
16Fouls11
2Yellow cards3
0Red cards0
1Half-time goals0
Recent form
Estoril
W @ Nacional1–0 · 15 Mar
D v Casa Pia0–0 · 7 Mar
L @ Sporting CP0–3 · 27 Feb
W v Gil Vicente3–1 · 22 Feb
L @ AVS0–3 · 15 Feb
Rio Ave
W v Estrela2–1 · 15 Mar
W @ Tondela1–0 · 9 Mar
D v Famalicão0–0 · 1 Mar
L @ Porto0–1 · 22 Feb
L v Moreirense1–2 · 16 Feb
Head to head
In 7 league meetings since 2022, Estoril won 3, Rio Ave won 1 and 3 were drawn; the most recent, on 1 Nov 2025, finished Rio Ave 0–4 Estoril, a win for Estoril.
Rio Ave 0–4 Estoril1 Nov 2025
Estoril 2–1 Rio Ave22 Feb 2025
Rio Ave 2–2 Estoril21 Sep 2024
Rio Ave 1–1 Estoril31 Jan 2024
Estoril 2–0 Rio Ave20 Aug 2023
Rio Ave 2–0 Estoril13 Feb 2023