Estoril vs Sp Braga result and stats
Win probability: home 23%, draw 21%, away 56%
Match report
GossipBall's parrot has been crunching the numbersEstoril beat Sp Braga 1–0 at home in the Primeira Liga on Friday 19 December 2025. This match was played before GossipBall launched. In a retrospective test using only results available before kick-off, GossipBall's ratings gave Estoril 23%, the draw 21% and Sp Braga 56%, so a home win had a 23% chance. It would have been an upset.
GossipBall analysis · based on five seasons of results and expected goals · updated 30 October 2026, 05:56 UTC
Match stats
ESSB
13Shots12
7On target5
9Corners5
12Fouls8
5Yellow cards2
0Red cards0
1Half-time goals0
Recent form
Estoril
L @ Famalicão0–4 · 14 Dec
D v Moreirense3–3 · 7 Dec
L @ Porto0–1 · 30 Nov
W v Arouca4–3 · 7 Nov
W @ Rio Ave4–0 · 1 Nov
Sp Braga
W v Santa Clara1–0 · 15 Dec
W @ Famalicão2–1 · 6 Dec
W @ Arouca4–0 · 1 Dec
W v Moreirense2–1 · 9 Nov
L @ Porto1–2 · 2 Nov
Head to head
In 8 league meetings since 2021, Estoril won 0, Sp Braga won 6 and 2 were drawn; the most recent, on 19 Apr 2025, finished Estoril 0–2 Sp Braga, a win for Sp Braga.
Estoril 0–2 Sp Braga19 Apr 2025
Sp Braga 2–2 Estoril6 Dec 2024
Estoril 0–1 Sp Braga13 Apr 2024
Sp Braga 3–1 Estoril3 Dec 2023
Sp Braga 4–1 Estoril8 Apr 2023
Estoril 0–2 Sp Braga22 Oct 2022