Estrela vs Alverca result and stats
Win probability: home 52%, draw 27%, away 21%
Match report
GossipBall's parrot has been crunching the numbersEstrela and Alverca drew 2–2 in the Primeira Liga on Monday 25 August 2025. This match was played before GossipBall launched. In a retrospective test using only results available before kick-off, GossipBall's ratings gave Estrela 52%, the draw 27% and Alverca 21%, so a draw had a 27% chance. It would have been an upset.
GossipBall analysis · based on five seasons of results and expected goals · updated 30 October 2026, 05:56 UTC
Match stats
ESAL
19Shots6
6On target2
6Corners2
18Fouls24
4Yellow cards5
1Red cards1
1Half-time goals2
Recent form
Estrela
L v Benfica0–1 · 16 Aug
D @ Estoril1–1 · 11 Aug
L @ Estoril0–4 · 17 May
L v AVS0–1 · 11 May
L @ Rio Ave0–2 · 5 May
Alverca
L v Sp Braga0–3 · 17 Aug
L @ Moreirense1–2 · 10 Aug
Head to head
These teams haven't met in this league in the last five seasons.