Estrela vs Benfica result and stats
Win probability: home 8%, draw 15%, away 77%
Match report
GossipBall's parrot has been crunching the numbersBenfica won 1–0 away at Estrela in the Primeira Liga on Saturday 16 August 2025. This match was played before GossipBall launched. In a retrospective test using only results available before kick-off, GossipBall's ratings gave Estrela 8%, the draw 15% and Benfica 77%, so an away win had a 77% chance. The favourite result came in.
GossipBall analysis · based on five seasons of results and expected goals · updated 30 October 2026, 05:56 UTC
Match stats
ESBE
15Shots14
2On target3
5Corners4
14Fouls23
3Yellow cards3
0Red cards0
0Half-time goals0
Recent form
Estrela
D @ Estoril1–1 · 11 Aug
L @ Estoril0–4 · 17 May
L v AVS0–1 · 11 May
L @ Rio Ave0–2 · 5 May
W v Porto2–0 · 26 Apr
Benfica
D @ Sp Braga1–1 · 17 May
D v Sporting CP1–1 · 10 May
W @ Estoril2–1 · 3 May
W v AVS6–0 · 27 Apr
W @ Vitória SC3–0 · 19 Apr
Head to head
In 4 league meetings since 2023, Estrela won 0, Benfica won 4 and 0 were drawn; the most recent, on 2 Feb 2025, finished Estrela 2–3 Benfica, a win for Benfica.
Estrela 2–3 Benfica2 Feb 2025
Benfica 1–0 Estrela24 Aug 2024
Estrela 1–4 Benfica29 Jan 2024
Benfica 2–0 Estrela19 Aug 2023