Estrela vs Casa Pia result and stats
Win probability: home 35%, draw 28%, away 37%
Match report
GossipBall's parrot has been crunching the numbersEstrela beat Casa Pia 4–0 at home in the Primeira Liga on Friday 20 March 2026. This match was played before GossipBall launched. In a retrospective test using only results available before kick-off, GossipBall's ratings gave Estrela 35%, the draw 28% and Casa Pia 37%, so a home win had a 35% chance. It would have been an upset.
GossipBall analysis · based on five seasons of results and expected goals · updated 30 October 2026, 05:56 UTC
Match stats
ESCP
23Shots8
8On target2
6Corners1
18Fouls20
3Yellow cards2
0Red cards0
3Half-time goals0
Recent form
Estrela
L @ Rio Ave1–2 · 15 Mar
D v Gil Vicente2–2 · 8 Mar
D @ AVS0–0 · 28 Feb
L v Tondela0–2 · 20 Feb
L @ Vitória SC1–2 · 14 Feb
Casa Pia
D @ Estoril0–0 · 7 Mar
D v Moreirense1–1 · 1 Mar
L @ Famalicão0–2 · 23 Feb
W v Arouca3–2 · 14 Feb
D @ Nacional0–0 · 8 Feb
Head to head
In 5 league meetings since 2023, Estrela won 3, Casa Pia won 2 and 0 were drawn; the most recent, on 1 Nov 2025, finished Casa Pia 3–5 Estrela, a win for Estrela.
Casa Pia 3–5 Estrela1 Nov 2025
Casa Pia 1–0 Estrela9 Feb 2025
Estrela 0–1 Casa Pia31 Aug 2024
Estrela 3–1 Casa Pia8 Mar 2024
Casa Pia 0–1 Estrela8 Oct 2023