Estrela vs Estoril result and stats
Win probability: home 34%, draw 24%, away 42%
Match report
GossipBall's parrot has been crunching the numbersEstoril won 5–0 away at Estrela in the Primeira Liga on Monday 19 January 2026. This match was played before GossipBall launched. In a retrospective test using only results available before kick-off, GossipBall's ratings gave Estrela 34%, the draw 24% and Estoril 42%, so an away win had a 42% chance. The favourite result came in.
GossipBall analysis · based on five seasons of results and expected goals · updated 30 October 2026, 05:56 UTC
Match stats
ESES
6Shots11
2On target6
1Corners4
16Fouls12
2Yellow cards2
1Red cards0
0Half-time goals1
Recent form
Estrela
D v Sp Braga3–3 · 3 Jan
W @ Famalicão3–2 · 27 Dec
D v Moreirense0–0 · 20 Dec
L @ Porto1–3 · 15 Dec
W v Arouca3–1 · 7 Dec
Estoril
L @ Benfica1–3 · 3 Jan
W v Alverca4–1 · 27 Dec
W v Sp Braga1–0 · 19 Dec
L @ Famalicão0–4 · 14 Dec
D v Moreirense3–3 · 7 Dec
Head to head
In 5 league meetings since 2023, Estrela won 1, Estoril won 3 and 1 was drawn; the most recent, on 11 Aug 2025, was a 1–1 draw.
Estoril 1–1 Estrela11 Aug 2025
Estoril 4–0 Estrela17 May 2025
Estrela 2–4 Estoril5 Jan 2025
Estoril 1–0 Estrela4 Feb 2024
Estrela 2–1 Estoril25 Aug 2023