Estrela vs Rio Ave result and stats
Win probability: home 30%, draw 29%, away 41%
Match report
GossipBall's parrot has been crunching the numbersRio Ave won 2–1 away at Estrela in the Primeira Liga on Saturday 25 October 2025. This match was played before GossipBall launched. In a retrospective test using only results available before kick-off, GossipBall's ratings gave Estrela 30%, the draw 29% and Rio Ave 41%, so an away win had a 41% chance. The favourite result came in.
GossipBall analysis · based on five seasons of results and expected goals · updated 30 October 2026, 05:56 UTC
Match stats
ESRA
16Shots8
2On target2
4Corners5
16Fouls20
3Yellow cards6
0Red cards0
1Half-time goals0
Recent form
Estrela
L @ Gil Vicente0–2 · 4 Oct
W v AVS3–0 · 27 Sep
D @ Tondela0–0 · 21 Sep
L v Vitória SC0–2 · 14 Sep
D @ Santa Clara0–0 · 31 Aug
Rio Ave
W v Tondela3–0 · 5 Oct
D @ Famalicão0–0 · 28 Sep
D @ Benfica1–1 · 23 Sep
L v Porto0–3 · 19 Sep
L @ Moreirense1–3 · 13 Sep
Head to head
In 4 league meetings since 2023, Estrela won 1, Rio Ave won 1 and 2 were drawn; the most recent, on 5 May 2025, finished Rio Ave 2–0 Estrela, a win for Rio Ave.
Rio Ave 2–0 Estrela5 May 2025
Estrela 1–0 Rio Ave23 Dec 2024
Estrela 2–2 Rio Ave14 Apr 2024
Rio Ave 1–1 Estrela2 Dec 2023