Estrela vs Sp Braga result and stats
Win probability: home 16%, draw 22%, away 62%
Match report
GossipBall's parrot has been crunching the numbersEstrela and Sp Braga drew 3–3 in the Primeira Liga on Saturday 3 January 2026. This match was played before GossipBall launched. In a retrospective test using only results available before kick-off, GossipBall's ratings gave Estrela 16%, the draw 22% and Sp Braga 62%, so a draw had a 22% chance. It would have been an upset.
GossipBall analysis · based on five seasons of results and expected goals · updated 30 October 2026, 05:56 UTC
Match stats
ESSB
11Shots10
4On target6
5Corners7
14Fouls8
2Yellow cards1
0Red cards0
1Half-time goals1
Recent form
Estrela
W @ Famalicão3–2 · 27 Dec
D v Moreirense0–0 · 20 Dec
L @ Porto1–3 · 15 Dec
W v Arouca3–1 · 7 Dec
L @ Sporting CP0–4 · 30 Nov
Sp Braga
D v Benfica2–2 · 28 Dec
L @ Estoril0–1 · 19 Dec
W v Santa Clara1–0 · 15 Dec
W @ Famalicão2–1 · 6 Dec
W @ Arouca4–0 · 1 Dec
Head to head
In 4 league meetings since 2023, Estrela won 0, Sp Braga won 3 and 1 was drawn; the most recent, on 19 Jan 2025, finished Estrela 0–1 Sp Braga, a win for Sp Braga.
Estrela 0–1 Sp Braga19 Jan 2025
Sp Braga 1–1 Estrela11 Aug 2024
Sp Braga 3–0 Estrela2 Mar 2024
Estrela 2–4 Sp Braga28 Sep 2023