GossipBall
Primeira LigaSaturday 11 April 2026 ·

Estrela vs Sporting CP result and stats

6%
test home win
0–1
full time
12%
draw
81%
test away win
Win probability: home 6%, draw 12%, away 81%

Match report

GossipBall's parrot has been crunching the numbers

Sporting CP won 1–0 away at Estrela in the Primeira Liga on Saturday 11 April 2026. This match was played before GossipBall launched. In a retrospective test using only results available before kick-off, GossipBall's ratings gave Estrela 6%, the draw 12% and Sporting CP 81%, so an away win had a 81% chance. The favourite result came in.

GossipBall analysis · based on five seasons of results and expected goals · updated 30 October 2026, 05:56 UTC

Match stats

ESSC
9
Shots
10
3
On target
2
4
Corners
13
14
Fouls
16
3
Yellow cards
1
0
Red cards
0
0
Half-time goals
0

Recent form

Estrela
L @ Nacional0–2 · 4 Apr
W v Casa Pia4–0 · 20 Mar
L @ Rio Ave1–2 · 15 Mar
D v Gil Vicente2–2 · 8 Mar
D @ AVS0–0 · 28 Feb
Sporting CP
W v Santa Clara4–2 · 3 Apr
W @ Alverca4–1 · 22 Mar
D @ Sp Braga2–2 · 7 Mar
W v Estoril3–0 · 27 Feb
W @ Moreirense3–0 · 21 Feb

Head to head

In 5 league meetings since 2023, Estrela won 0, Sporting CP won 5 and 0 were drawn; the most recent, on 30 Nov 2025, finished Sporting CP 4–0 Estrela, a win for Sporting CP.

Sporting CP 4–0 Estrela30 Nov 2025
Estrela 0–3 Sporting CP29 Mar 2025
Sporting CP 5–1 Estrela1 Nov 2024
Estrela 1–2 Sporting CP29 Mar 2024
Sporting CP 3–2 Estrela5 Nov 2023

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Not affiliated with any league, club or governing body; names are used for identification only and no club or league logos are shown. Data: football-data.co.uk, football-data.org and openfootball. Photos: Sebastian Schuster, Victor, Lukáš Parničan and nika tchokhonelidze on Unsplash.

Updated 30 October 2026, 05:56 UTC · About · Legal & privacy · Guide · Previous predictions · Track record · [email protected]