Estrela vs Sporting CP result and stats
Win probability: home 6%, draw 12%, away 81%

Match report
GossipBall's parrot has been crunching the numbersSporting CP won 1–0 away at Estrela in the Primeira Liga on Saturday 11 April 2026. This match was played before GossipBall launched. In a retrospective test using only results available before kick-off, GossipBall's ratings gave Estrela 6%, the draw 12% and Sporting CP 81%, so an away win had a 81% chance. The favourite result came in.
GossipBall analysis · based on five seasons of results and expected goals · updated 30 October 2026, 05:56 UTC
Match stats
ESSC
9Shots10
3On target2
4Corners13
14Fouls16
3Yellow cards1
0Red cards0
0Half-time goals0
Recent form
Estrela
L @ Nacional0–2 · 4 Apr
W v Casa Pia4–0 · 20 Mar
L @ Rio Ave1–2 · 15 Mar
D v Gil Vicente2–2 · 8 Mar
D @ AVS0–0 · 28 Feb
Sporting CP
W v Santa Clara4–2 · 3 Apr
W @ Alverca4–1 · 22 Mar
D @ Sp Braga2–2 · 7 Mar
W v Estoril3–0 · 27 Feb
W @ Moreirense3–0 · 21 Feb
Head to head
In 5 league meetings since 2023, Estrela won 0, Sporting CP won 5 and 0 were drawn; the most recent, on 30 Nov 2025, finished Sporting CP 4–0 Estrela, a win for Sporting CP.
Sporting CP 4–0 Estrela30 Nov 2025
Estrela 0–3 Sporting CP29 Mar 2025
Sporting CP 5–1 Estrela1 Nov 2024
Estrela 1–2 Sporting CP29 Mar 2024
Sporting CP 3–2 Estrela5 Nov 2023