Famalicão vs Estrela result and stats
Win probability: home 57%, draw 26%, away 17%
Match report
GossipBall's parrot has been crunching the numbersEstrela won 3–2 away at Famalicão in the Primeira Liga on Saturday 27 December 2025. This match was played before GossipBall launched. In a retrospective test using only results available before kick-off, GossipBall's ratings gave Famalicão 57%, the draw 26% and Estrela 17%, so an away win had a 17% chance. It would have been an upset.
GossipBall analysis · based on five seasons of results and expected goals · updated 30 October 2026, 05:56 UTC
Match stats
FAES
22Shots6
5On target4
9Corners4
18Fouls16
3Yellow cards5
0Red cards0
2Half-time goals2
Recent form
Famalicão
L @ Benfica0–1 · 22 Dec
W v Estoril4–0 · 14 Dec
L v Sp Braga1–2 · 6 Dec
D @ Moreirense2–2 · 29 Nov
L v Porto0–1 · 9 Nov
Estrela
D v Moreirense0–0 · 20 Dec
L @ Porto1–3 · 15 Dec
W v Arouca3–1 · 7 Dec
L @ Sporting CP0–4 · 30 Nov
D v Nacional1–1 · 9 Nov
Head to head
In 4 league meetings since 2023, Famalicão won 1, Estrela won 1 and 2 were drawn; the most recent, on 25 Jan 2025, was a 0–0 draw.
Famalicão 0–0 Estrela25 Jan 2025
Estrela 0–3 Famalicão19 Aug 2024
Famalicão 0–0 Estrela16 Mar 2024
Estrela 1–0 Famalicão29 Oct 2023