Moreirense vs Arouca result and stats
Win probability: home 48%, draw 25%, away 27%
Match report
GossipBall's parrot has been crunching the numbersArouca won 1–0 away at Moreirense in the Primeira Liga on Saturday 21 March 2026. This match was played before GossipBall launched. In a retrospective test using only results available before kick-off, GossipBall's ratings gave Moreirense 48%, the draw 25% and Arouca 27%, so an away win had a 27% chance. It would have been an upset.
GossipBall analysis · based on five seasons of results and expected goals · updated 30 October 2026, 05:56 UTC
Match stats
MOAR
7Shots14
2On target2
3Corners7
11Fouls12
1Yellow cards2
0Red cards0
0Half-time goals0
Recent form
Moreirense
L @ Porto0–3 · 15 Mar
D v Nacional1–1 · 7 Mar
D @ Casa Pia1–1 · 1 Mar
L v Sporting CP0–3 · 21 Feb
W @ Rio Ave2–1 · 16 Feb
Arouca
L v Benfica1–2 · 14 Mar
L @ Famalicão0–1 · 6 Mar
L @ Porto1–3 · 27 Feb
W v Nacional3–0 · 21 Feb
L @ Casa Pia2–3 · 14 Feb
Head to head
In 7 league meetings since 2021, Moreirense won 5, Arouca won 1 and 1 was drawn; the most recent, on 2 Nov 2025, finished Arouca 0–2 Moreirense, a win for Moreirense.
Arouca 0–2 Moreirense2 Nov 2025
Arouca 1–0 Moreirense24 Jan 2025
Moreirense 3–1 Arouca18 Aug 2024
Moreirense 1–0 Arouca17 Mar 2024
Arouca 0–1 Moreirense27 Oct 2023
Arouca 1–1 Moreirense26 Feb 2022